The following is a list of all publications produced by current members of the Storm Prediction Center. The list is organized alphabetically by author last name and then chronologically for each person.

Some of these papers may be found online and may be reached through our regular publications page.

You can also jump to a specific author:
Phillip Bothwell| David Bright | Chris Broyles | Greg Carbin| Sarah (Taylor) Corfidi | Steve Corfidi| Casey Crosbie| Mark Darrow| Andy Dean| Greg Dial| Roger Edwards| Jeff Evans| Steve Goss| Jeremy Grams| Jared Guyer| Jack Hales| John Hart| Melissa Hurlbut| Dave Imy| Ryan Jewell| Jason Levit| Brynn Kerr| Corey Mead| Jeff Peters| Jon Racy| Joe Schaefer| Russ Schneider| Bryan Smith| Rich Thompson| Steve Weiss

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and P.D. Bothwell, 2006: Analysis of estimated environments for 2004 and 2005 severe convective storm reports. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Taylor, S.J., D.R. Bright, G.W. Carbin, P.D. Bothwell, and R.J. Naden, 2003: Using short range ensemble model data in national fire weather outlooks. Preprints, 5th Symp. Fire and Forest Meteor., Otlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Bothwell, P.D., J.A. Hart and R.L. Thompson, 2002: An integrated three-dimensional objective analysis scheme in use at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J117-J120.

Bothwell, P.D., 2000: Forecasting dry thunderstorms as a part of fire weather outlooks at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 3rd Symp. on Fire and Forest Meteorology, Long Beach, CA., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76-79.

Bothwell, P.D. and Carbin, G.W., 2000: National fire weather outlooks issued by the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 3rd Symp. on Fire and Forest Meteorology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80-87.

Bothwell, P.D., 1998: New diagnostic and prognostic tools for predicting lightning location from zero to twelve hours and beyond. International Lightning Detection Conf., Tucson, AZ, Global Atmospherics, Inc., Paper #12, 10 pp.

Bothwell, P.D., and T.L. Smith, 1998: Forecasting areas of convective weather threat using the RUC-2. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 669-672.

Xue, M., K. Brewster, K.K. Droegemeier, F. Carr, V. Wong, Y. Liu, A. Sathye, G. Bassett, P. Janish, J. Levit, and P.D. Bothwell, 1996: Real time prediction of storm-scale weather during VORTEX-95, Part II: Operation summary and example cases. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 178-182.

Bothwell, P.D., 1995: Merging observations and model output in short-term winter weather forecasting. Postprints, 4th NWS National Winter Weather Workshop, Kansas City, MO, National Weather Service, xx-xx.

Bothwell, P.D., 1993: VDUC Integrated Enhanced Workstation (VIEW) interface for data access and display. Preprints, 9th Int. Conf. on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Anaheim CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 191-194.

Murphy, A.H., C.A. Doswell III, S.J. Weiss, P.D. Bothwell, and H.E. Brooks, 1993: Probabilistic severe weather forecasting at NSSFC: An experiment. Preprints, 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74-76.

Bothwell, P.D., 1992: An interactive SKEW-T program for combining observed and model data. Preprints, 8th Int. Conf. on Interactive Information and Processing Systems (IIPS) for Meteorology, Oceanography, and Hydrology, Atlanta, GA., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 135-140.

Browning, P., and P.D. Bothwell, 1990: A few words about moisture flux convergence. NSSFC Operational Notes - May 1990, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2 pp.

Bothwell, P.D.*, 1988: What you see is not necessarily what you get. Natl. Wea. Dig., 13, 4, 37-38.

Bothwell, P.D.*, 1988: Merging satellite and surface derived fields for nowcasting of intense convection. Preprints, 15th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Baltimore, MD, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 360-363.

Bothwell, P.D.*, 1988: Analysis of a capping inversion as an aid in defining the severe weather threat area. Preprints, 15th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Baltimore, MD, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 464-467.

Bothwell, P.D., 1988: Forecasting convection with the AFOS data analysis programs (ADAP - Version 2.0) NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR 122, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 92 pp.

Bothwell, P.D., 1985: AFOS data analysis programs. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR 114. National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 73 pp.

Bothwell, P.D.**, R.A. Maddox, C.A. Doswell III, and K. C. Crawford, 1985: Operational methods for increasing the reliability of information derived from conventional surface and upper-air data. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Indianapolis, IN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 402-405

Bothwell, P.D.**, and K.C. Crawford, 1983: The operational use of surface objective analysis in evaluating the potential for heavy convection. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Tulsa, OK, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 372-375

Bothwell, P.D.#, 1982: Comparison of Doppler radar measurements to the simulation of deep moist convection in an axisymmetric cloud model. M. S. Thesis, Dept. of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma. 104 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS Southern Region, Scientific Services Div., Ft. Worth, TX.
** Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Oklahoma City, OK
# Author affiliated with Dept. of Meteorology, University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK.

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Bright, D.R., M.S. Wandishin, R.E. Jewell, and S.J. Weiss, 2005: A physically based parameter for lightning prediction and its calibration in ensemble forecasts. Preprints, Conf. on Meteor. Applications of Lightning Data, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM (4.3).

Bright, D.R., M.S. Wandishin, S.J. Weiss, J.J. Levit, J.S. Kain, and D.J. Stensrud, 2004: Evaluation of short-range ensemble forcasts in predicting severe convective weather during the 2003 SPC/NSSL Spring Program. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P15.5.

Bright, D.R., and P.A. Nutter, 2004: On the challenges of identifying the "best" ensemble member in operational forecasting. Preprints, 16th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J11.3.

Kain, J.S., S.J. Weiss, D.R. Bright, M.E. Baldwin, M. Dahmer, and J. Levit, 2004: Subjective verification of deterministic models during the 2003 SPC/NSSL Spring Program. Preprints, 16th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 9.3.

Levit, J.J., D.J. Stensrud, D.R. Bright, and S.J. Weiss, 2004: Evaluation of short-range ensemble forecasts during the SPC/NSSL 2003 Spring Program. Preprints, 16th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 23.4.

Weiss, S.J., J.S. Kain, J.J. Levit, M.E. Baldwin, and D.R. Bright, 2004: Examination of several different versions of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for the prediction of severe convective weather: The SPC/NSSL Spring Program 2004. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 17.1.

Taylor, S.J., D.R. Bright, G.W. Carbin, P.D. Bothwell, and R.J. Naden, 2003: Using short range ensemble model data in national fire weather outlooks. Preprints, 5th Symp. Fire and Forest Meteor., Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Bright, D.R., S.J. Weiss, J. Levit, and D.J. Stensrud, 2003: The utility of short-range ensemble forecasts in the real-time prediction of severe convective weather at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 10th Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Portland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Bright, D.R.#, and S. L. Mullen, 2002a: Short-range ensemble forecasts of precipitation during the southwest monsoon. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 1080-1100.

Bright, D.R.##, and S. L. Mullen, 2002b: The sensitivity of the numerical simulation of the southwest monsoon boundary layer to the choice of PBL turbulence parameterization in MM5. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 99-114.

Bright, D.R.%, 2001: Short-term mesoscale ensemble forecasts of precipitation for Arizona during the monsoon. Ph.D. Dissertation, University of Arizona, 202 pp.

Bright, D.R.#, S. L. Mullen, and D. J. Stensrud, 2001: Short term mesoscale ensembles over the southwest United States during the monsoon. Preprints, 9th Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Fort Lauderdale, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 259-263.

Bright, D.R.#, S. L. Mullen, and D. J. Stensrud, 2001: Short range mesoscale ensemble forecasts of precipitation over the southwest United States during the summer convective season. Preprints, Symposium on Precipitation Extremes: Prediction, Impacts, and Responses, Albuquerque, NM, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 244-247.

Bright, D.R.#, S. L. Mullen, and D. J. Stensrud, 2000: Short range forecasts for Arizona during the Mexican monsoon. Postprints, 2nd Southwest Weather Symposium, Tucson, AZ, NWS/COMET/AMS, 197-200.

Farfan, L. M., J. A. Zehnder, and D.R. Bright, 2000#: Verification of mesoscale model simulations for Arizona. Postprints, 2nd Southwest Weather Symposium, Tucson, AZ, NWS/COMET/AMS, 75-77.

Bright, D.R.#, and D. M. McCollum, 1998: Monitoring Gulf of California moisture surges with GOES-9 data and the WSR-88D at Yuma, Arizona. Preprints, 16th Conf. On Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 50-52.

Maddox, R. A., D.R. Bright#, W. J. Meyer, and K. W. Howard, 1998: Evaluation of the WSR-88D hail algorithm over southeast Arizona. Preprints, 16th Conf. On Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 227-232.

McCollum, D. M., and D.R. Bright#, 1998: The Gulf of California: A significant source of moisture during Arizona's summer thunderstorm season? Sensitivity experiments using the MM5. Preprints, 19th Conf. On Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 619-622.

Meyer, W. J., and D.R. Bright#, 1998: An investigation into the severe thunderstorm associated with the first TVS indicated by the KEMX WSR-88D and the roll of horizontal roll vorticies. Preprints, 16th Conf. On Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 243-244.

Farfan, L. M., D.R. Bright#, and J. A. Zehnder, 1998: Numerical simulation of mesoscale weather systems in Arizona. Preprints, 12th Conf. On Numerical Weather Prediction, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J13-J16.

Green, G. D., D.R. Bright#, and M. Staudenmaier, Jr., 1998: The 2 April 1997 Flagstaff snowstorm. Preprints, 8th Conf. On Mountain Meteorlogy, Flagstaff, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4 pp.

Bright, D.R.#, and D. M. McCollum, 1996: A case study of mesoscale orographic enhancement of precipitation in the Santa Catalina mountains of Arizona. Postprints, 4th NWS Winter Weather Workshop, NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS CR-112, Kansas City, MO, 30.1-30.9.

McCollum, D.M., D.R. Bright#, W. J. Meyer, and J. R. Glueck, 1996: Operational application of the real-time national lightning detection network (NLDN) at the NWS office in Tucson, Arizona. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS WR-241, 34 pp.

Bright, D.R.**, E. R. Carle, and L. F. Bosart, 1993: A succinct examination of diagnostics associated with a Nevada cyclogenesis event. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4 pp.

Carle, E. R., D.R. Bright**, and L. F. Bosart, 1993: Nevada cyclogenesis and poor model guidance. Preprints, 13th Conf. On Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 4 pp.

Bright, D.R.*, and E. R. Carle, 1991: Discontinuous vertical motion diagnosed through PIVA. NWS Western Region Technical Attachment 91-50, 6 pp.

Bright, D.R.@, 1990: Evaluation of Special Sensor Microwave/Imager sea surface wind speeds for meteorological purposes. M.S. Thesis, University of Washington, 166 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO Salt Lake City, UT.

** Author affiliated with NWS WFO Minneapolis, MN.

# Author affiliated with NWS WFO Tucson, AZ.

@ Author affiliated with Dept of Atmospheric Sciences, U. of Washington.

% Author affiliated with Dept of Atmospheric Sciences, U. of Arizona.

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Broyles, J.C., and K.C. Crosbie, 2004: Evidence of smaller tornado alleys across the United States based on a long track F3-F5 tornado climatology study from 1880-2003. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Broyles, J.C.*, R. Wynne, N. Dipasquale, H. Guerrero, T. Hendricks, 2002: Radar characteristics of violent tornadic storms using the NSSL algorithms across separate geographich regions of the United States. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 150-153.

Broyles, J.C.*, N. Dipasquale, R. Wynne, 2000: Synoptic and mesoscale characteristics associated with violent tornadoes across separate geographic regions of the United States: Part 1 - low-level characteristics. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J65-J68.

Broyles, J.C.*, N. Dipasquale, R. Wynne, 2000: Synoptic and mesoscale characteristics associated with violent tornadoes across separate geographic regions of the United States: Part 2 - upper-level characteristics. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J69-J72.

Marshall, T.P., J.C. Broyles*, J. Wingenroth, S. Kersch 2000: The effect of a low-level boundary on the development of the Panhandle, TX tornadic storm on 29 May 2001. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 559-562.

Johns, R. H., J.C. Broyles*, D. Eastlack, H. Guerrero, and K. Harding, 2000: The role of synoptic patterns and temperature and moisture distribution in determining the locations of strong and violent tornado episodes in the north central United States: A preliminary examination. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 489-492.

Guerrero, H., J.C. Broyles**, and D. Eastlack, 1998: Forecasting tornado location across the Dakotas and Minnesota. Preprints, 19th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 301-304.

* Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Amarillo TX.
** Author affiliated with NWS Forecast Office, Aberdeen SD.

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Taylor, S.J., D.R. Bright, G.W. Carbin, P.D. Bothwell, and R.J. Naden, 2003: Using short range ensemble model data in national fire weather outlooks. Preprints, 5th Symp. Fire and Forest Meteor., Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Kain, J.S., M.E. Baldwin, P.R. Janish, S.J. Weiss, M.P. Kay, G.W. Carbin, 2003: Subjective verification of numerical models as a component of a broader interaction between research and operations. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 847-860.

Carbin, G.W., 2003: Mesoscale Processes Associated with the Rapid Erosion of the "Cap". Preprints, 10th Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Portland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Carbin, G.W., M.P. Kay, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Preprints, 27th National Weather Assoc. Annual Meeting, Fort Worth, TX.

Kain, J.S., M.E. Baldwin, S.J. Weiss, P.R. Janish, G.W. Carbin, M.P. Kay, and L. Brown, 2002: Subjective verification of numerical models as a component of a broader interaction between research and operations. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J25-J28.

Crisp, C.A., P.R. Janish, G.W. Carbin, and A. Just, 2002: Creation of a Severe Thunderstorm Event Web Page for Research and Training Purposes at the NSSL and SPC. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Bothwell, P.D. and G.W. Carbin, 2000: National fire weather outlooks issued by the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 3rd Symp. on Fire and Forest Meteorology, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80-87.

Carbin, G.W.*, 1997: Analysis of a splitting severe thunderstorm using the WSR-88D. NWS Eastern Region WSR-88D Operational Note Nr. 08, National Weather Service, Eastern Region Headquarters, Bohemia, NY, 8 pp. (Available at http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/hq/ssd/erps/88d/88d.html )

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO Wilmington, NC

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Corfidi, S.F., and S.J. Corfidi, 2006: Toward a better understanding of elevated convection. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO., Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

W.E. Togstad, S.J. Taylor and J.L. Peters, 2004: An examination of severe thunderstorm discrimination skills from traditional Doppler radar parameters and near storm environment (NSE) factors at large radar range. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Corfidi, S.F., D.A. Imy, S.J. Taylor, and A. Logan, 2004: A preliminary investigation of derecho-producing MCSs in environments of very low dew points. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Taylor, S.J., D.R. Bright, G.W. Carbin, P.D. Bothwell, and R.J. Naden, 2003: Using short range ensemble model data in national fire weather outlooks. Preprints, 5th Symp. Fire and Forest Meteor., Orlando FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Taylor, S.J. *, and E.D. Howieson, 2001: A new approach to fire weather forecasting at the Tulsa WFO. Preprints, AMS Fourth Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, Reno, NV.

* Author affiliated with NWSFO Tulsa, OK

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Corfidi, S.F., and S.J. Corfidi, 2006: Toward a better understanding of elevated convection. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO., Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Corfidi, S.F., J.J. Levit, and S.J. Weiss, 2004: The super outbreak: Outbreak of the century. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Corfidi, S.F., D.A. Imy, S.J. Taylor, and A. Logan, 2004: A preliminary investigation of derecho-producing MCSs in environments of very low dew points. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Corfidi, S.F., 2003: Cold pools and MCS propagation: Forecasting the motion of downwind-developing MCSs. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 997-1017.

Edwards, R., S.F. Corfidi, R.L. Thompson, J.S. Evans, J.P. Craven, J.P. Racy, D.W. McCarthy, and M.D. Vescio, 2001: Storm Prediction Center forecasting issues related to the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 544-558.

Evans, J. S., and S. F. Corfidi, 2000: Genesis and evolution of the 4 June 1999 derecho. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 405-408.

Corfidi, S. F., 1999: The birth and early years of the Storm Prediction Center. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 507-525.

Grice, G. K., R. J. Trapp, S. F. Corfidi, R. Davies-Jones, C. C. Buonanno, J. P. Craven, K. K. Droegemeier, C. Duchon, J. V. Houghton, R. A. Prentice, G. Romine, K. Schlachter, K. K. Wagner, 1999: The Golden Anniversary Celebration of the First Tornado Forecast. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 80, 1341 1348.

Corfidi, S. F., 1998: Some thoughts on the role mesoscale features played in the 27 May 1997 central Texas tornado outbreak. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 626-629.

Corfidi, S. F., 1999: Forecasting MCS mode and motion. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 626-629.

Corfidi, S. F., 1996: The colors of twilight. Weatherwise, 49, 3, 14-19.

Corfidi, S. F., 1996: The development and movement of warm-season haze over the central and eastern United States. Natl. Wea. Dig., 20, 3, 2-14.

Corfidi, S. F.*, 1996: On the movement of mesoscale convective complexes. M. S. Thesis, Dept. of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University, 123 pp.

Corfidi, S. F.*, 1996: Predicting the movement of mid-latitude mesoscale convective complexes. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 41-46.

Corfidi, S. F.**, 1993: Lost Horizons - The nature and origin of warm-season haze over the eastern United States. Weatherwise, 46, 3, 12-17.

Uccellini, L. W., S. F. Corfidi**, N. W. Junker, P. J. Kocin, and D. A. Olson, 1992: Report on the surface analysis workshop held at the National Meteorological Center. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 459-472.

Corfidi, S. F.**, 1991: Manual of operational surface analysis for the Meteorological Operations Division of the National Meteorological Center. 22 pp. (Available from NWS/NCEP/HPC, 5200 Auth Road, Camp Springs, MD 20746).

Olson, D. A., S. F. Corfidi**, J. L. Czarniecki, W. G. Haggard, and N. W. Junker, 1991: Surface Analysis Review Committee Report. NMC/Meteorological Operations Division (Available from NWS/NCEP/ Hydrometeorological Prediction Center, 5200 Auth Road, Camp Springs, MD 20746).

Corfidi, S. F.**, F. H. Glass and N. W. Junker, 1990: The Louisiana-Texas flash flood of 15-16 November 1987. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Kananaskis Park, AB, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 627-633.

Corfidi, S. F.**, and G. A. Gayno, 1990: Some visual aspects on the development of a Plains mesoscale convective system. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 172-180.

Corfidi, S. F.**, and K. A. Comba, 1989: The Meteorological Operations Division of the National Meteorological Center. Wea. Forecasting, 4, 343-366.

Corfidi, S. F.**, and H. Brandli, 1986: GOES views aircraft distrails, Natl. Wea. Dig., 11, 2, 37-39.

Ferguson, E. W., F. P Ostby, P. W. Leftwich, Jr., W. E. Carle, S. F. Corfidi**, R. G. Cundy, and W. D. Hirt, 1985: The tornado season of 1983. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 395-404.

Zurndorfer, E. A., and S. F. Corfidi**, 1980: The use of a multivariate logic model for predicting quantitative precipitation. NOAA/NWS Techniques Development Laboratory Office Note 80-4, 12 pp. (Available from NOAA/NWS/MDL, 1325 East-West Highway, Silver Spring, MD 20910).

* Author affiliated with Dept. of Meteorology, Pennsylvania State University
** Author affiliated with Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (NWS/NCEP)

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Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Broyles, J.C., and K.C. Crosbie, 2004: Evidence of smaller tornado alleys across the United States based on a long track F3-F5 tornado climatology study from 1880-2003. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Crosbie, K.C., and R. Wolf, 2002: WDR-88D observations of non-descending tornadogenesis in proximity to a synoptic-scale frontal boundary: A case study of 18 May 2000 in northern Illinois. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 587-590.

Rasmussen, E. N., and K.C. Crosbie, 1996: Tornado damage assessment in VORTEX-95. Preprints, 18th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Amer. Meteor. Soc., San Francisco, CA, 153-157.

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Darrow, M. A., and M. L. Rehbein, 1996: A preliminary investigation of west coast convection during the cool season. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 685-688.

Darrow, M. A.*, 1995: Flow patterns conducive for heavy snow in the northern Big Horn Mountains of north central Wyoming. Natl. Wea. Dig., 19, 4, 2-9.

Darrow, M. A.*, and J. S. Evans, 1993. Orographically induced heavy snow event in the Big Horn Mountains. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR-93-11, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 8 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WSO at Sheridan, WY.

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Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and P.D. Bothwell, 2006: Analysis of estimated environments for 2004 and 2005 severe convective storm reports. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Dean, A.R., and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: PDS watches: How dangerous are these "particularly dangerous situations?" Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Dean, A.R., and D.A. Imy, 2006: A look at the tornado report and watch climatology for the continental United States from 1986-2005. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: Development of a comprehensive severe weather forecast verification system at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Dean, A.R. and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: The skill of forecasting relatively isolated severe thunderstorm events. Preprints, 18th Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmos. Sciences. Atlanta, GA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM (1.1).

Dean, A.R. *, and B.H. Fiedler, 2002: Forecasting warm-season burnoff of low clouds at the San Francisco International Airport using linear regression and a neural network. J. Appl. Meteor., 41, 629-639.

* Author affiliated with University of Oklahoma.

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Dial, G.L., and J.P. Racy, 2004: Forecasting short term onvective mode and evolution for severe storms initiated along synoptic boundaries. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Robbins, G.T., and G.L. Dial*, 1994: A case study of orographic enhancement of helicity In the lee of the Appalachians. NWS Eastern Region Tech. Attachment No. 94-4A, National Weather Service, Eastern Region Headquarters, Bohemia, NY, 13 pp.

Vescio, M.D., K.K. Keeter, G.L. Dial*, P. Badgett, and A.J. Riordan, 1993: A low-top weak-reflectivity severe weather episode along a thermal/moisture boundary In eastern North Carolina. Preprints: 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 628-632.

Dial, G.L.**, 1992: Usefulness Of wind profiler data for short-term forecasting during a heavy snow event In north Texas. NWS Southern Region Tech. Attachment SR/SSD 92-6, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 7 pp.

Dial, G.L.#, 1990: A study of the mesoscale and synoptic-scale heat and moisture budgets in the vicinity of a mesoscale convective complex. M.S. Thesis, Dept. of Meteorology, Texas A.&M. University.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO Raleigh, NC
** Author affiliated with NWS WFO Fort Worth, TX
# Author affiliated with Dept. of Meteorology, Texas A.&M. University

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Cerveny, R.S., J. Lawrimore, R. Edwards, and C. Landsea, 2007: Extreme Weather Records: Compilation, Adjudication, and Publication. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 88, 853-860.

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead and R. Edwards, 2007: Effective storm-relative helicity and bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 102-115.

Edwards, R., and S.J. Hodanish, 2006: Photographic documentation and environmental analysis of an intense, anticyclonic supercell on the Colorado plains. Mon. Wea. Rev., 134, 3753-3763.

Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Edwards, R., and A.E. Pietrycha, 2006: Archetypes for surface baroclinic boundaries influencing tropical cyclone tornado occurrence. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Edwards, R., 2006: Supercells of the Serranias del Burro (Mexico). Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Monteverdi, J.P., R. Edwards, G.J. Stumpf, and D. Gudgel, 2006: An analysis of the 7 July 2004 Rockwell Pass, CA tornado: Highest elevation tornado documented in the U.S. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

McCarthy, D.W., J.T. Schaefer and R. Edwards, 2006: What are we doing with (or to) the F-Scale? Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Rao, G.V., J.W. Scheck, R. Edwards, and J.T. Schaefer, 2005: Structures of mesocirculations producing tornadoes associated with tropical cyclone Frances (1998). Pure Appl. Geophys., 162, 1627-1641.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and C.M. Mead, 2004: Assessment of anticyclonic supercell environments using close proximity soundings from the RUC model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead, and R. Edwards, 2004: Effective bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: Effective storm-relative helicity in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Edwards, R., and S.J. Hodanish, 2004: Environmental analysis and photographic documentation of an intense, left-moving supercell on the Colorado plains. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: An update to the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Rao, G.V., K. Santhanam, J.W. Scheck, S.M. Spratt, B.C. Hagemeyer, R. Edwards, J.T. Schaefer, J.L. Case and E. Kemp, 2004: MM5 Simulations of Precipitation and Mesocyclone Dynamics Associated with TC Gabrielle (2001) Using High Resolution Data of East Central Florida. Preprints, 26th. Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Miami.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.

Rao, G.V., K. Santhanam, D. Gallagher, J.W. Scheck, R. Edwards, J.T. Schaefer, S.M. Spratt and B.C. Hagemeyer, 2003: Radar Characteristics of Mesocyclones Associated with Tropical Cyclones and Simulation of the Mesocyclonic Characteristics Using MM5. Preprints, 10th. Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Portland, P2.10.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2003: Characteristics of vertical wind profiles near supercells obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1262-1272.

Edwards, R., 2003: Rating tornado damage: An exercise in subjectivity. Preprints, Symposium on F-scale and Severe Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Edwards, R., and L.R. Lemon, 2002: Proactive or reactive? The severe storm threat to large event venues. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 232-235.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2002: Characteristics of RUC vertical wind profiles near supercells. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 599-602.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and interpretation of the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters at the Storm Prediction Center.. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J11-J14.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of supercell motion forecast techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J57-J60.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 model analysis soundings as a surrogate for observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 591-594.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: An assessment of supercell and tornado forecast parameters with RUC-2 model close proximity soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 595-598.

Edwards, R., S. F. Corfidi, R. L. Thompson, J. S. Evans, J. P. Craven, J. P. Racy, D. W. McCarthy, and M. D. Vescio, 2001: Storm Prediction Center forecasting issues related to the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 544-558.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: An overview of environmental conditions and forecast implications of the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting., 15, 682-699.

Edwards, R., R. L. Thompson, and J. G. LaDue, 2000: Initiation of storm A (3 May 1999) along a possible horizontal convective roll. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 60-63.

Edwards, R., G. V. Rao and J. W. Scheck, 2000: Examination of tornadic supercells in Tropical Cyclone Earl (1998) using conventional and WSR-88D data suites. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 97-100.

Rao, G. V., R. Edwards and J. W. Scheck, 2000: Case studies of tornadoes associated with tropical cyclones based on conventional and WSR-88D data. Preprints, 24th Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Ft. Lauderdale, FL., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 306-307.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: A comparison of Rapid Update Cycle 2 (RUC-2) model soundings with observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 551-554.

Thompson, R. L., and R. Edwards, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part I: An examination of storm-relative winds normalized to supercell depth. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 431-434.

Edwards, R., and R. L. Thompson, 2000: RUC-2 supercell proximity soundings, Part II: An independent assessment of supercell forecast parameters. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 435-438.

Schaefer, J. T., and R. Edwards, 1999, The SPC tornado/severe thunderstorm database. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Applied Climatology, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 603-606.

Edwards, R., and R. L. Thompson, 1998: Nationwide comparisons of hail size with WSR-88D vertically integrated liquid water and derived thermodynamic sounding data. Wea. Forecasting, 13, 277-285.

Edwards, R., 1998: Storm Prediction Center forecast support for landfalling tropical cyclones. Preprints, 23rd Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology., Dallas, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 53-56.

Edwards, R., 1998: Tornado production by exiting tropical cyclones. Preprints, 23rd Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology., Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 485-488.

Edwards, R., and S. J. Weiss, 1996: Comparisons between Gulf of Mexico sea surface temperature anomalies and southern U.S. severe thunderstorm frequency in the cool season. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 317-320.

Martin, P. L., and R. Edwards, 1995: A severe weather, hurricane, and flood climatology for the Austin/San Antonio WFO County Warning Area. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR 167, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 27 pp.

Edwards, R., and J. A. Hart, 1994: Using SHARP workstation to analyze soundings from the FSL/NCDC CD-ROM database. NSSFC Operational Notes - Mar.1994, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2-4.

Edwards, R.*, 1992: Tornadic supercell over Dade and Broward Counties (Florida) on January 15, 1991. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS SR 140, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, xx pp.

* Author affiliated with National Hurricane Center (NWS/NCEP).

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Kumjian, M., J.S. Evans, and J.L. Guyer, 2006: The relationship of the Great Plains low level jet to nocturnal MCS development. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Evans, J.S., and J.L. Guyer, 2006: The relationship of cool season significant tornado events and buoy data in the western Gulf of Mexico. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

R. Graham, M. L. Bentley, J. A. Sparks, B. Dukesherer, and J. S. Evans, 2004: Lower Michigan MCS climatology: Trends, pattern types, and marine layer impacts. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Doswell, C.A. III, and J.S. Evans, 2003: Proximity sounding analysis for derechos and supercells: an assessment of similartities and differences. Atmos. Research, 67-68, 117-133. [online]

Miller, D.J., D.L. Andra Jr., J.S. Evans and R.H. Johns, 2002: Observations of the 27 May 2001 high-end derecho event in Oklahoma. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 13-17.

Evans, J.S., and C.A. Doswell III, 2002: Investigating derecho and supercell proximity soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 635-638.

Evans, J. S., and C.A. Doswell III, 2001: Examination of derecho environments using proximity soundings. Wea. Forecasting, 16, 329-342.

Edwards, R., S.F. Corfidi, R.L. Thompson, J.S. Evans, J.P. Craven, J.P. Racy, D.W. McCarthy, and M.D. Vescio, 2001: Storm Prediction Center forecasting issues related to the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 544-558.

Evans, J.S., and S.F. Corfidi, 2000: Genesis and evolution of the 4 June 1999 derecho. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 405-408.

Johns, R.H., and J.S. Evans, 2000: Comments on "A climatology of derecho-producing mesoscale convective systems in the central and eastern United States, 1986-1995. Part I: Temporal and spatial distribution". Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 81, 1049-1054.

Evans, J.S., 1998: An examination of observed shear profiles associated with long-lived bow echoes. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 30-33.

Evans, J.S., and R.H. Johns, 1996: Strong and violent tornadoes in the Big Horn Mountains of Wyoming. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 636-640.

Weiland, M., and J.S. Evans*, 1996: A comparison of the Medicine Bow profiler and the Cheyenne SR-88d VWP during the cold season 1994-1995. Preprints, 27th Conf. on Radar Meteorology, Vail, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 353-358.

Wesley, D.A., M.S. Weiland, and J.S. Evans*, 1996: Structure and mechanisms of formation of snowbands during the 1994-95 winter at Cheyenne, Wyoming as revealed by NEXRAD WSR-88D radar data. Preprints, 27th Conf. on Radar Meteorology, Vail, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 16-18.

Evans, J.S.*, and R.H. Johns, 1995: Preliminary study of Wyoming mountain tornadoes. Preprints, 7th Conf. on Mountain Meteorology, Breckenridge, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 28-33.

Evans, J.S.**, 1993: Flash flooding in central Johnson County WY, June 14-15, 1992. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR-93-19, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 8 pp.

Darrow, M.A., and J.S. Evans**, 1993. Orographically induced heavy snow event in the Big Horn Mountains. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR-93-11, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 8 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Cheyenne, Wyoming.
** Author affiliated with NWS Office at Sheridan, Wyoming.

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Goss, S.M., R.L. Thompson, and E. Bookbinder, 2006: An elevated supercell with damaging wind from the morning of 12 March 2006. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Kain, J. S., S.M. Goss, and M.E. Baldwin, 2000: The melting effect as a factor in precipitation-type forecasting. Wea. Forecasting, 15, 700-714.

Richards, M., S. White and S.M. Goss*, 1997: A case study of a well-defined bow echo with bookend vortices, Natl. Wea. Dig., 21, 4, 23-29.

Goss, S.M.*, and J.N. Chrisman, 1995: An introduction to WSR-88D clutter suppression, and some tips for effective suppression utilization. National Weather Service Training Center, Warning Decision Training Branch Training Material, 16pp. (Paper available at http://www.roc.noaa.gov/otb/papers/goss/cltrgoss.pdf)

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Nashville, TN.

Grams, J.S.*, W.A. Gallus Jr., S.E. Koch, L.S. Wharton, A. Loughe, and E.E. Ebert, 2006: The use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to evaluate mesoscale model QPF as a function of convective system morphology during IHOP 2002. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 288-306.

Grams, J.S.*, W.A. Gallus Jr., S.E. Koch, L.S. Wharton, A. Loughe, and E.E. Ebert, 2005: The use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to evaluate mesoscale model QPF as a function of convective system morphology during IHOP 2002. Preprints, 21st Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting/17th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Washington D.C., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 14A.2.

Grams, J.S.*, W.A. Gallus Jr., L.S. Wharton, S. Koch, E.E. Ebert, and A. Loughe, 2004: Use of a modified Ebert-McBride technique to verify IHOP QPF as a function of convective system morphology. Preprints, 20th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting/16th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction/17th Conf. on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J13.4.

* Author affiliated with Department of Geological and Atmospheric Science, Iowa State University.

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Kumjian, M., J.S. Evans, and J.L. Guyer, 2006: The relationship of the Great Plains low level jet to nocturnal MCS development. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Guyer, J.L., and J.M. Davies, 2006: Enviroment characteristics associated with tornado events near closed cold core 500 mb lows. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Evans, J.S., and J.L. Guyer, 2006: The relationship of cool season significant tornado events and buoy data in the western Gulf of Mexico. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM

Guyer, J.L., D.A. Imy, A. Kis, and K. Venable, 2006: Cool season significant (F2-F5) tornadoes in the Gulf Coast states. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Guyer, J.L., and R. Ewald, 2004: Record hail event - examination of the Aurora, Nebraska supercell of 22 June 2003. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. CD ROM.

Davies, J.M., and J.L. Guyer, 2004: A preliminary climatology of tornado events with closed core 500 mb lows in the central and eastern United States. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Guyer, J.L.*, and T.J. Shea, 2003: An Assessment of the Variability in Operational Assignment of F-Scale Damage. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Guyer, J.L.*, and M.L. Moritz, 2003: On Issues of Tornado Damage Assessment and F-Scale Assignment in Agricultural Areas. Preprints, 1st Symp. F-Scale and Severe-Weather Damage Assessment, Long Beach, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Ewald, R., and J.L. Guyer*, 2002: The Ideal Lead Time for Tornado Warnings - A Look from the Customer's Perspective. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

Guyer, J.L.*, 2002: A Case of Supercell Intensification Along a Preexisting Boundary - Clay County Nebraska Tornado of 22 September 2001. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Hastings, NE.

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Hales, J. E., Jr., 1998: Skill assessment of the particularly dangerous (PDS) tornado watches issued by the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 170-172.

Hales, J. E., Jr., M. D. Vescio, and S. E. Koch, 1997: The March 1994 tornado outbreak in the southeast U.S.-- The forecast process from an SPC perspective. Natl. Wea. Dig., 21, 4, 3-17.

Hales, J. E., Jr. and M. D. Vescio, 1996: The March 1994 tornado outbreak in the southeast U.S. "The forecast process from an SPC perspective". Preprints, 18th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 32-36.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1994: The Vancouver WA tornado on April 5, 1972 as a benchmark for west coast significant tornado episodes. Preprints, 6th Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Portland, OR, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 134-137.

K. L. Polston and J. E. Hales, Jr., 1994: Severe thunderstorm cases of July 1992 through June 1993 NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-39, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 417pp.

Hales, J. E. Jr.,1993: Topographically induced helicity enhancement and its role in the Los Angeles basin tornado maximum, Preprints, 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 98-101..

Hales, J. E., Jr., 1993: Biases in the severe thunderstorm data base, ramifications and solutions. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 504-507.

Hales, J. E. Jr., and H. G. Crowther, 1993: Severe thunderstorm cases of July 1991 through June 1992. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-36, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 200pp.

Hales, J. E. Jr., and H. G. Crowther, 1992: Severe thunderstorm cases of July 1990 through June 1991. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-32, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 152pp.

Hales, J. E., Jr., 1991: Influences on Arizona thunderstorms during the summer monsoon: A case study during SWAMP 1990. NSSFC Operational Notes - Oct. 1991, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 7.

Hales, J. E. Jr., and H. G. Crowther, 1991: Severe thunderstorm cases of July 1989 through June 1990. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-29, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 131pp.

Hales, J. E., Jr., 1990: The crucial role of tornado watches in the issuance of warnings for significant tornadoes. Natl. Wea. Dig., 15, 4, 30-36.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1990: An examination of the development and role of a mesoscale vorticity center in the Council Bluffs tornado on 15 July 1989, Preprints, 16th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Kananaskas Park, AB, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 446-449.

Hales, J. E. Jr., and H. G. Crowther, 1990: Severe thunderstorm cases of July 1988 through June 1989. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-26, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 106pp.

Leftwich, P. W., and J. E. Hales Jr., 1990: A dyad of papers concerning joint verification of severe local storm watches and warnings during tornado events. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-25, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 36pp.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1989: The crucial role of tornado watches in the issuance of warnings for significant tornadoes. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Monterey, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 202-206.

Browning, P. A., J. E. Hales, Jr., and L. F. Wilson, 1989: Factors contributing to the Raleigh tornado of 28 Nov. 1988. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Monterey, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 167-172.

Hales, J. E. Jr., and H. G. Crowther, 1989: Severe thunderstorm cases of July 1987 through June 1988. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-22, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 92pp.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1988: Improving the watch/warning program through use of significant event data. Preprints, 15th Conf. Severe Local Storms, Baltimore, MD, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 165-168.

Hales, J. E. Jr., and H. G. Crowther, 1988: Severe thunderstorm cases of July 1986 through June 1987. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-19, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 83pp.

Hales, J. E. Jr., and H. G. Crowther, 1987: Severe thunderstorm cases of July 1985 through June 1986. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-16, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 73pp.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1987: An examination of the National Weather Service local storm warning program and proposed improvements. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-15, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 32 pp.

Hales, J. E. Jr., and H. G. Crowther, 1986: Severe thunderstorm cases of 1985. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-11, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 51 pp.

Ferguson, E. W., F. P. Ostby, P. W. Leftwich, and J. E. Hales Jr., 1986: The tornado season of 1984. Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 624-635.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1985: Synoptic features associated with Los Angeles tornado occurrences. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 66, 657-662.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1985: The relationship between the collection of severe thunderstorm reports and warning verification. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Indianapolis, IN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 13-16.

Hales, J. E. Jr., and H. G. Crowther, 1985: Severe thunderstorm cases of 1984. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-7, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 88pp.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1984: Texas severe thunderstorm outbreak, May 19-20, 1983. Preprints, 10th Conf. on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Clearwater Beach, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 124-130.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1983: Synoptic features associated with Los Angeles tornado occurrences. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Tulsa, OK, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 132-135.

Hales, J. E. Jr,.1982: Relationship of selected synoptic scale parameters to significant tornado occurrences in 1980. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 139-142.

Hales, J. E., Jr., and C. A. Doswell III, 1982: High resolution diagnosis of instability using hourly lifted surface temperatures. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 172-175.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1980: The Windsor Locks tornado. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Weather Forecasting and Analysis. Denver, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 69-73.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1979: On the relationship of 250 mb positive vorticity advection and horizontal divergence to tornado and severe thunderstorm development. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Kansas City, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 28-31.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1979: A subjective assessment of model initial conditions using satellite imagery. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 60, 206-211.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1978: The Kansas City flash flood of September 12, 1977, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 59, 706-710.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1978: The Kansas City flash flood of September 12, 1977. Preprints, Conf. on Flash Floods: Hydrometeorological aspects, Los Angeles, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 158-162.

Hales, J. E. Jr, 1978: A subjective assessment of model initial conditions using satellite imagery. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-2, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 5pp.

Hales, J. E. Jr., 1977: On the relationship of convective cooling to nocturnal thunderstorms at Phoenix. Mon. Wea. Rev., 105, 1609-1613.

Hales, J. E. Jr.*, 1975: A severe southwest desert thunderstorm: 19 August 1973. Mon. Wea. Rev., 103, 344-351.

Hales, J. E. Jr.*, 1974: Southwestern United States summer monsoon source-Gulf of Mexico or Pacific Ocean? J. Appl. Meteor., 13, 331-342.

Hales, J. E. Jr.*, 1974: Southwestern United States summer monsoon source-Gulf of Mexico or Pacific Ocean? Weatherwise, 27, 148-155.

Hales, J. E. Jr.*, 1972: Surges of maritime tropical air northward over the Gulf of California.. Mon. Wea. Rev., 100, 298-306.

Hales, J. E. Jr.*, 1972: A study of radar echo distribution in Arizona during July and August. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS WR-77, National Weather Service, Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT, 22pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Phoenix, AZ.

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Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.

Davies, J.M., and J.A. Hart, 2002: Mesoscale environment factors in the D.C. area tornado event of 24 September 2001. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 575-578.

Craven, J.P., H.E. Brooks and J.A. Hart, 2002: Baseline climatology of sounding derived parameters associated with deep, moist convection. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 643-646.

J.S. Kain, M.E. Baldwin, S.J. Weiss, P.R. Janish, J.A. Hart and A. Just, 2002: Grassroots science and technology transfer in a collaborative research/operational environment. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J1-J6.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and interpretation of the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters at the Storm Prediction Center.. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J11-J14.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of supercell motion forecast techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J57-J60.

Bothwell, P.D., J.A. Hart and R.L. Thompson, 2002: An integrated three-dimensional objective analysis scheme in use at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J117-J120.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 model analysis soundings as a surrogate for observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 591-594.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: An assessment of supercell and tornado forecast parameters with RUC-2 model close proximity soundings. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 595-598.

Weiss, S.J., J.A. Hart and P.R. Janish, 2002: An examination of severe thunderstorm wind report climatology. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 446-449.

Smith, T.L., S.G. Benjamin, B.E. Schwartz, G. Grell, P.D. Bothwell, and J.A. Hart, 2000: A past and future look at the Rapid Update Cycle for the 3 May 1999 severe weather outbreak. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 21-24.

Brooks, H.E., M.P. Kay, and J.A. Hart, 1998: Objective limits on forecasting skill of rare events. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms. Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 552-555.

Imy, D.A., J.A. Hart and M.P. Kay, 1998: A tornado watch climatology for the continental U.S. 1987-1997, Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 276-279.

Johns, R.H., and J.A. Hart, 1998: The occurrence and non-occurrence of large hail with strong and violent tornado episodes: Frequency distributions. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 283-286.

Edwards, R., and J.A. Hart, 1994: Using SHARP workstation to analyze soundings from the FSL/NCDC CD-ROM database. NSSFC Operational Notes - Mar.1994, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2-4.

Hart, J.A., 1993: SVRPLOT: A new method of accessing and manipulating the NSSFC severe weather data base. Preprints, 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 40-41.

Johns, R.H., and J.A. Hart, 1993: Differentiating between types of severe thunderstorm outbreaks: a preliminary investigation. Preprints, 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 46-50.

Johns, R.H., and J.A. Hart, 1993: Making potential buoyant energy value comparisons. NSSFC Operational Notes - July 1993, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 2-3.

Korotky, W.D., R.W. Przybylinski, and J.A. Hart*, 1993: The Plainfield, Illinois, tornado of August 28, 1990: The evolution of synoptic and mesoscale environments. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, C. Church, D. Burgess, C. Doswell III, and R. Davies-Jones, Eds., Amer. Geophys. Union, Washington, DC, 611-624.

Hart, J.A.*, and W. D. Korotky, 1992: The SHARP Workstation v1.50....A Skew-t/hodograph analysis and research program for the IBM and compatible PCs. NWS Eastern Region Computer Problems #13MC, National Weather Service, Eastern Region Headquarters, Bohemia, NY, 58 pp.

Hart, J.A.*, and R. H. Johns, 1991: The derecho event of 9 April 1991. NSSFC Operational Notes - Oct. 1991, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 5-6.

Korotky, W., and J.A. Hart*, 1991: The SHARP workstation: Program description and applications. NSSFC Operational Notes - Oct. 1991, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 6-7.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Charleston, WV.

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Hurlbut, M.M.*,2007: A rare F-2 tornado event in Bear, Idaho. NOAA/NWS Western Region Tech. Attachment, NWS 07-07, 25 pp.

Hurlbut, M.M.*, and Parker, S.S. 2006: Severe weather threat discrimination in southeast Oregon and southwest Idaho using pre-storm environmental data. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Jacksonville, FL.

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Guyer, J.L., D.A. Imy, A. Kis, and K. Venable, 2006: Cool season significant (F2-F5) tornadoes in the Gulf Coast states. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Dean, A.R., and D.A. Imy, 2006: A look at the tornado report and watch climatology for the continental United States from 1986-2005. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

Corfidi, S.F., D.A. Imy, S.J. Taylor, and A. Logan, 2004: A preliminary investigation of derecho-producing MCSs in environments of very low dew points. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Imy, D. A., J. A. Hart and M. P. Kay, 1998: A tornado watch climatology for the continental U.S. 1987-1997, Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 276-279.

Smith S., T. Graziano, M. Eilts, J. Johnson, J. Wilson, R. Roberts, D. Burgess, D. Kitzmiller, R. Saffle, R. Elvander, S. Zubrick, S. Weiss, J. Schaefer, and D. Imy, 1998: The system for convection analysis and nowcasting (SCAN). Preprints, 16th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J22-J24.

Szoke, E. J., and D. A. Imy*, 1996: The super-landspout tornado of 16 July 1994 in northeast Colorado, Preprints, 18th Conf. on Severe Local Storms , San Francisco, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 398-402.

Holmes, R. T., and D. A. Imy*, 1995: Using the new technology to enhance the warning process for a deadly micro burst in eastern Colorado. Natl. Wea. Dig., 20, 2, 18-29.

Imy, D. A.*, and K. J. Pence, 1993: An examination of a supercell using a tilt sequence. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, C. Church, D. Burgess, C. Doswell III, and R. Davies-Jones, Eds., Amer. Geophys. Union, Washington, DC, 257-264.

Closure, G. E., and D. A. Imy*, 1993; A description of the initial set of analysis products available from the NEXRAD WSR-88D system, Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 74, 1293-1311.

Imy, D. A.**, K. J. Pence, and C. A. Doswell III, 1992: On the need for volumetric radar data when issuing severe thunderstorm and tornado warnings. Natl. Wea. Dig., 17, 4, 2-17.

Imy, D. A.**, and D. W. Burgess, 1991: The structural evolution of a tornadic supercell with a persistent mesoscyclone, Preprints, 25th Int. Conf. on Radar Meteorology, Paris, France, Amer Meteor. Soc., 408-411.

Imy, D. A.#, 1987: The Jones County tornado - February 28, 1987. NWS Southern Region Tech. Attachment SRH/SSD 9-29-87, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 3 pp.

Imy, D. A.#, 1987: The Lemon Technique - 1987. NWS Southern Region Tech. Attachment SR/SSD 5-26-87, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 3 pp.

Imy, D.A.#, 1986: A modified supercell of November 31st- December 1st. NWS Southern Region Tech. Attachment SR/SSD xx-xx-86, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX, 6 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO Denver, CO
** Author affiliated with Operations Training Branch, NWS WSR-88D OSF, Norman, OK
# Author affiliated with NWS WFO Jackson, MS

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Bright, D.R., M.S. Wandishin, R.E. Jewell, and S.J. Weiss, 2005: A physically based parameter for lightning prediction and its calibration in ensemble forecasts. Preprints, Conf. on Meteor. Applications of Lightning Data, San Diego, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM (4.3).

Jewell, R.E.D., and J. Brimelow, 2004: Evaluation of an Alberta hail growth model using severe hail proximity soundings in the United States. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Craven, J.P., R.E.D. Jewell, and H.E. Brooks, 2002: Comparison between observed convective cloud-base heights and lifting condensation level for two different lifted parcels. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 885–890.

Jewell, R.E.D.*, 2000: Using storm top divergence signatures as large hail indicators in the Boise CWA. NWS Western Region Tech. Attachment WR-00-14, National Weather Service, Western Region Headquarters, Salt Lake City, UT, 3 pp.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Boise, ID.

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Kerr, B.W., and G.L. Darkow, 1996: Storm-relative winds and helicity in the tornadic thunderstorm environment. Wea. Forecasting, 11, 489-505.

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Weiss, S.J., D.R. Bright, J.S. Kain, J.J. Levit, M.E. Pyle, Z.I. Janjic, B.S. Ferrier, and J. Du, 2006: Complementary Use of Short-range Ensemble and 4.5 KM WRF-NMM Model Guidance for Severe Weather Forecasting at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

V. Homar, D. J. Stensrud and J. J. Levit, 2004: Severe weather forecasts from an ensemble of human-perturbed simulations using an adjoint model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Corfidi, S.F., J.J. Levit, and S.J. Weiss, 2004: The super outbreak: Outbreak of the century. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Sankovitch, V., J.T. Schaefer and J.J. Levit, 2004: A comparison of rawinsonde data from the southeastern United States during El Niño, La Niña, and neutral winters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Levit, J.J., V. Lakshmanan, K. Manross and R. S. Schneider, 2004: Integration of the Warning Decision Support System - integrated information into the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms,Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Weiss, S.J., J.S. Kain, J.J. Levit, M.E. Baldwin, and D.R. Bright, 2004: Examination of several different versions of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for the prediction of severe convective weather: The SPC/NSSL Spring Program 2004. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 17.1.

Bright, D.R., M.S. Wandishin, S.J. Weiss, J.J. Levit, J.S. Kain, and D.J. Stensrud, 2004: Evaluation of short-range ensemble forcasts in predicting severe convective weather during the 2003 SPC/NSSL Spring Program. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., P15.5.

Levit, J.J., D.J. Stensrud, D.R. Bright, and S.J. Weiss, 2004: Evaluation of short-range ensemble forecasts during the SPC/NSSL 2003 Spring Program. Preprints, 16th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 23.4.

Kain, J.S., S.J. Weiss, D.R. Bright, M.E. Baldwin, M. Dahmer, and J. Levit, 2004: Subjective verification of deterministic models during the 2003 SPC/NSSL Spring Program. Preprints, 16th Conf. Numerical Weather Prediction, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 9.3.

Schaefer, J.T., J.J. Levit, S.J. Weiss and D.W. McCarthy, 2004: The frequency of large hail over the contiguous United States. Preprints, 14th Conf. Applied Climatology, Seattle WA.

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Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead and R. Edwards, 2007: Effective storm-relative helicity and bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 102-115.

Thompson, R.L., and C.M. Mead, 2006: Tornado failure modes in central and southern Great Plains severe thunderstorm episodes. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and C.M. Mead, 2004: Assessment of anticyclonic supercell environments using close proximity soundings from the RUC model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead, and R. Edwards, 2004: Effective bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: Effective storm-relative helicity in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: An update to the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Mead, C.M.*, and A.E. Gerard, 1999: The Initiation and Evolution of a Mini-Bow Echo Occurring Behind a Prefrontal Squall Line. Natl. Wea. Dig., 23, 1-2, 20-29.

Mead, C.M.*, and P.L. Wolf, 1998: The 2 May 1997 Severe Weather Episode over Northeast Louisiana and Central Mississippi: The Apparent Influence of Frontogenetic Forcing Along a Newly Formed Mesoscale Baroclinic Zone. Natl. Wea. Dig., 22, 2, 35-41.

Gerard, A.E., C.M. Mead*, S. Miller, R. Pfost and P.L. Wolf, 1998: Surprise Snowstorm Socks Louisiana, Mississippi and Alabama. NWS Southern Region Technical Attachment. SR/SSD 98-5, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX.

Mead, C.M.**, 1997: The Discrimination between Tornadic and Nontornadic Supercell Environments: A Forecasting Challenge in the Southern United States. Wea. Forecasting, 12, 379-387.

Mead, C.M.**, G.P. Murdoch, and T.J. Turnage, 1997: A Severe Weather Climatology for the NWSO Midland, Texas County Warning Area. NWS Southern Region Technical Memoranda. NWS SR-191, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX

Mead, C.M.** and T.W. Earle, 1997: An Elevated Severe Thunderstorm Complex Over Southeast New Mexico and West Texas. NWS Southern Region Technical Attachment. SR/SSD 97-9, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX.

Mead, C.M.**, 1995: The Relationship between Convective Available Potential Energy, Storm-Relative Helicity and the Development of Tornadic Thunderstorms in the Northern Plains. NWS Southern Region Technical Attachment. SR/SSD 95, National Weather Service, Southern Region Headquarters, Ft. Worth, TX.

* Author affiliated with NWS Jackson, MS
** Author affiliated with NWS Midland, TX

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W.E. Togstad, S.J. Taylor and J.L. Peters, 2004: An examination of severe thunderstorm discrimination skills from traditional Doppler radar parameters and near storm environment (NSE) factors at large radar range. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

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Dial, G.L., and J.P. Racy, 2004: Forecasting short term onvective mode and evolution for severe storms initiated along synoptic boundaries. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Rogash, J.A., and J.P. Racy, 2002: Some meteorological characteristics of significant tornado events occurring in proximity to flash flooding. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 155- 159.

Edwards, R., S. F. Corfidi, R. L. Thompson, J. S. Evans, J. P. Craven, J. P. Racy, D. W. McCarthy, and M. D. Vescio, 2001: Storm Prediction Center forecasting issues related to the 3 May 1999 tornado outbreak. Wea. Forecasting, 17, 544-558.

Racy, J. P.*, 1998: How northeast Indiana and northwest Ohio residents interpret meteorological terminology and services through NOAA Weather Radio. NOAA Tech. Services Pub. NWS CR-05, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 10 pp. (Available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/techpapers/arp16/arp16-12.html )

Racy, J. P.*, and M. L. Kopsky, 1995: A comparison of NEXRAD precipitation estimates to real-time data. Central Region Applied Research Paper 16-12, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 9 pp. (Available at http://www.crh.noaa.gov/techpapers/service/tsp-05/tsp-05.html)

* Author affiliated with NWS WSO at Fort Wayne, IN

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Cook, A.R., and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: The relation of El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) to winter tornado outbreaks. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

Dean, A.R., and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: PDS watches: How dangerous are these "particularly dangerous situations?" Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

McCarthy, D.W., J.T. Schaefer and R. Edwards, 2006: What Are We Doing with (or to) the F-Scale? Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: Development of a comprehensive severe weather forecast verification system at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, CD-ROM.

Dean, A.R. and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: The skill of forecasting relatively isolated severe thunderstorm events. Preprints, 18th Conf. Probability and Statistics in the Atmos. Sciences. Atlanta, GA, CD-ROM (1.1).

Rao, G.V., J.W. Scheck, R. Edwards, and J.T. Schaefer, 2005: Structures of mesocirculations producing tornadoes associated with tropical cyclone Frances (1998). Pure Appl. Geophys., 162, 1627-1641.

Schneider, R.S., J.T. Schaefer, and H.E. Brooks, 2004: Tornado outbreak days: An updated and expanded climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Schneider, R.S., H.E. Brooks and J.T. Schaefer, 2004: Tornado outbreak day sequences: Historic events and climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Sankovitch, V., J.T. Schaefer and J.J. Levit, 2004: A comparison of rawinsonde data from the southeastern United States during El Niño, La Niña, and neutral winters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Rao, G.V., K. Santhanam, J.W. Scheck, S.M. Spratt, B.C. Hagemeyer, R. Edwards, J.T. Schaefer, J.L. Case and E. Kemp, 2004: MM5 Simulations of Precipitation and Mesocyclone Dynamics Associated with TC Gabrielle (2001) Using High Resolution Data of East Central Florida. Preprints, 26th. Conf. on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Miami.

Schaefer, J.T., J.J. Levit, S.J. Weiss and D.W. McCarthy, 2004: The frequency of large hail over the contiguous United States. Preprints, 14th Conf. Applied Climatology, Seattle WA.

Rao, G.V., K. Santhanam, D. Gallagher, J.W. Scheck, R. Edwards, J.T. Schaefer, S.M. Spratt and B.C. Hagemeyer, 2003: Radar Characteristics of Mesocyclones Associated with Tropical Cyclones and Simulation of the Mesocyclonic Characteristics Using MM5. Preprints, 10th. Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Portland, P2.10.

Schaefer, J.T., and A. Just, 2002: The month-to-month consistency in occurrence rates of tornadoes and severe thunderstorms.

Elmore, K.L., S.J. Weiss, P.C. Banacos and S.K. Jones, 2002: Operational ensemble cloud model forecasts: Some premilinart results. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 442-445.

Marzban, C., and J.T. Schaefer, 2001: On the correlation between tornadoes and sea surface temperature. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 884-895.

McCarthy, D.W., and J.T. Schaefer, 2001: Tornadoes of 2000 - A quiet but unusual year. Weatherwise, 54, 2, 44-49.

Schaefer, J.T., and H. E. Brooks, 2000: Convective storms and their impact. Preprints, 2nd Symp. on Environmental Applications, Long Beach, CA., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 152-159.

Schaefer, J.T., and C. Marzban, 2000: Tornadoes in the United States as related to the tropical Pacific sea surface temperature. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 118-121.

McCarthy, D.W., and J.T. Schaefer, 2000: The year in tornadoes: 1999 - Tornadoes go urban. Weatherwise, 53, 2, 30-38.

Petersen, R.A., W.F. Feltz, J.T. Schaefer, and R.S. Schneider, 2000: An analysis of low-level moisture-flux convergence prior to the May 3, 1999 Oklahoma City tornadoes. Preprints, 20th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Orlando, FL, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 619-621.

Schaefer, J.T., and R. Edwards, 1999, The SPC tornado/severe thunderstorm database. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Applied Climatology, Dallas, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 603-606.

McCarthy, D.W., and J.T. Schaefer, 1999: Tornadoes of 1998. Weatherwise, 52, 2, 38-47.

Schaefer, J.T.., and C.A. Doswell III, 1998: Necrology: Joseph G. Galway. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 79, 2180.

Schaefer, J.T., and F.B. Tatom, 1998: The relationship between El Nino, La Nina, and United States tornado activity. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 416-419.

Janish, P.R. and J.T. Schaefer, 1998: A comparison of synoptic and mesoscale environments associated with F5 tornadoes in the 1990s. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 311-313.

Leftwich, P.W., J.T. Schaefer, S.J. Weiss, and M.P. Kay, 1998: Severe convective storm probabilities for local areas in watches issued by the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 19th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Minneapolis, MN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 548-551.

Livingston, R.L., and J.T. Schaefer, 1998: Investigating the utility of 6-minute wind profiler data in the forecast process. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73-75.

McCarthy, D., J. Schaefer, and M.P. Kay, 1998: Watch verification at the Storm Prediction Center 1970-1997. Preprints, 19th Conf. On Severe Local Storms, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 603-606.

Smith S., T. Graziano, M.D. Eilts, J.T. Johnson, J. Wilson, R. Roberts, D.W. Burgess, D. Kitzmiller, R. Saffle, R. Elvander, S. Zubrick, S.J. Weiss, J.T. Schaefer, and D.A. Imy, 1998: The system for convection analysis and nowcasting (SCAN). Preprints, 16th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Phoenix, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J22-J24.

McCarthy, D.W., and J.T. Schaefer, 1997: Tornadoes-weather of 1997. Weatherwise, 51, 2, 32-40.

McCarthy, D., and J.T. Schaefer, 1996: The mesoscale unit at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 15th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 291-294.

Schaefer, J.T.*, and R.P. McNulty, 1996: Using mean relative humidity as an aid for forecasting thunderstorms and their characteristics. Preprints, 18th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Francisco, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 650-653.

McNulty, R.P. and J.T. Schaefer*, 1996: The National Weather Service's forecaster development program. Preprints, 5th Symp. on Education, Atlanta, GA., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 109-111.

Livingston, R.L., and J.T. Schaefer*, 1995: The mesoscale structure of a winter katafront. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Dallas TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 46-51.

Schaefer, J.T.**, R.L. Livingston, F.P. Ostby and P.W. Leftwich, 1993, The stability of climatological tornado data. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, C. Church, D. Burgess, C. Doswell III, and R. Davies-Jones, Eds., Amer. Geophys. Union, Washington, DC, 459-466.

Grazulis, T.P., J.T. Schaefer**, and R. F. Abbey, 1993: Advances in tornado climatology, hazards and risk assessment. The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards, Geophys. Monogr., No. 79, C. Church, D. Burgess, C. Doswell III, and R. Davies-Jones, Eds., Amer. Geophys. Union, Washington, DC, 409-426.

Livingston, R.L. and J.T. Schaefer**, 1993: County-by-county data on strong and violent tornadoes. Preprints, 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 6-9.

McNulty, R.P., J.T. Schaefer**, and J.M. Griffin, 1993: ASOS observations of a wet micro burst. Preprints, 17th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, St. Louis, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 652-656.

Schaefer, J. T.**, J.P. Travers, T.A. Heffner, A.D. Eubanks, A.L. Garza, L.P. Rothfusz, W.A. Rogers, S. Graff, J. T. Skeen, K. Haydu, and M L. Harrison, 1992: Summary of National Weather Service Aviation Workshop. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 73, 1835-1841.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1990: The Critical Success Index as an indicator of warning skill. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 570-575.

Schaefer, J.T.**, and R.L. Livingston, 1990: Operational implications of the "probability of precipitation". Wea. Forecasting, 5, 354-356.

Schaefer, J.T.**, and R.L. Livingston, 1990: The evolution of tornado proximity soundings. Preprints, 16th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Kananaskis Park, AB, Canada, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96-101.

Livingston, R.L., and J.T. Schaefer**, 1990: On medium-range model guidance and the 3 to 5 day extended forecast. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 361-376.

McNulty R.P., J.T. Schaefer**, W. E. Sunkel and T. A. Townsend, 1990: On the need for augmentation in automated surface observations. Natl. Wea. Dig., 15, 1, 9-16.

McNulty R.P., J.T. Schaefer**, W. E. Sunkel and T. A. Townsend, 1990: Response to comments of Charles A. Doswell III and Barry Schwartz. Natl. Wea. Dig., 15, 3, 32-33.

Livingston, R.L., and J.T. Schaefer**, 1989: Use of the medium range forecast model guidance in issuing the 3 to 5 day extended forecast. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Monterey, CA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 664-669.

Schaefer, J.T.**, and R.L. Livingston, 1988: The typical structure of tornado proximity soundings. J. Geophys. Res., 93, 5351-5364.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1988: The effect of wind and temperature on humans. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 88-5, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 2 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, and R.L. Livingston, 1988: The structural characteristics of tornado proximity soundings. Preprints, 15th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Baltimore, MD, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 537-540.

Schaefer, J.T.**, and R.L. Livingston, 1988: What does the 'probability of precipitation' mean? NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 88-1, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 3 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1987: Lightning strike density. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 87-21, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 5 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1987: Comparative verification of MOS-NGM Perfect Prag Guidance. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 87-18, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 6 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1987: Thunderstorm hot flashes. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 87-16, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 6 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1986: Severe thunderstorm forecasting: A historical perspective. Wea. Forecasting, 1, 164-189.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1986: The dryline. Mesoscale Meteorology and Forecasting. P. Ray, Ed., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 549-572.

Schaefer, J.T.**, D.L. Kelly, and R.F. Abbey, 1986: Development and application of a minimum assumption tornado hazard probability model. J. Climate Appl. Meteor., 25, 1934-1945.

Smith, D.L., F.L. Zuckerburg, J.T. Schaefer**, and G.E. Rasch, 1986: Forecast problems: A meteorological and operational analysis. Mesoscale Meteorology and Forecasting, P. Ray, Ed., Amer. Meteor. Soc., 36-49.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1986: The current state of the science of summer severe weather forecasting. Preprints, 1st Workshop on Operational Meteorology, Winnipeg, MB, Canada, Environment Canada/Canadian Meteor. and Ocean. Soc., 29-45.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1986: Nocturnal thunderstorms, sometimes known as MCC's (Mesoscale Convective Complexes). NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 86-18, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 10 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, and R.L. Livingston, 1986: Significant non-gradient winds. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Kansas City, MO, 416-421.

McNulty, R.P., J.T. Schaefer**, M.D. Manker, and T.A. Townsend, 1986: Winter weather as sampled by the NWS Automated Surface Observation System (ASOS). Preprints, 11th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Kansas City, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 137-142.

Kelly D.L., J.T. Schaefer**, and C.A. Doswell, III, 1985: The climatology of non-tornadic severe thunderstorm events in the United States. Mon. Wea. Rev., 113, 1997-2014.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1985: Tornado hazard probability model. NOAA Tech. Memo. NWS NSSFC-8, National Weather Service, National Severe Storms Forecast Center, Kansas City, MO, 30 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, D.L. Kelly, and C.A. Doswell, III, 1985: The annual progression of non-tornadic severe thunderstorm events in the U.S.A. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Indianapolis, IN, 5-8.

McNulty, R.P., J.T. Schaefer**, M.D. Manker, T.A. Townsend, H. Bogin, and D.M. Entrikin, 1985: ASOS and thunderstorms. Preprints, 14th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Indianapolis, IN, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 101-104.

Schaefer, J.T.**, and C.A. Doswell, III, 1984: Empirical orthogonal function expansion applied to progressive tornado outbreaks. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 62, 929-936.

Chaowei, J., D.L. Kelly, and J.T. Schaefer**, 1984: A note on the comparative environment of Beijing and Topeka during the thunderstorm season. J. Climate and Appl. Meteor., 23, 320-328.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1984: Heat index, aka apparent temperature. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 84-11, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 6 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1984: The mean recurrence interval (MRI). NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 84-6, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 3 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, D.L. Kelly, and R.F. Abbey, 1984: An empirical tornado hazard assessment model. Preprints, 16th Joint Meeting of the United States/Japan Panel on Wind and Seismic Effects, Gaithersburg, MD, National Bureau of Standards, 22 pp.

Sangster, W.E., and J.T. Schaefer**, 1984: Nocturnal thunderstorms. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 84-10, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 5 pp.

Ferguson, E.W., J.T. Schaefer**, S.J. Weiss, L.F. Wilson, and F.P. Ostby, 1983: Tornado 1982: A near-record year. Mon. Wea. Rev., 111, 1665-1678.

Ferguson, E.W., J.T. Schaefer**, S.J. Weiss, and L.F. Wilson, 1983: The year of the tornado. Weatherwise, 36, 1, 18-27.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1983: On the synoptic differentiation between tornado outbreak types. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Tulsa, OK, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 142-145.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1983: Because summer was hot, winter will be ???? NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 83-12, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 7 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.**, 1983: A minimum assumption: The time of summer thunderstorms. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 83-9, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 4 pp.

Doswell, C.A. III, D.L. Kelly, and J.T. Schaefer, 1983: A preliminary climatology of non-tornadic severe thunderstorm events. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Tulsa, OK, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 25-28.

Kelly, D.L., and J.T. Schaefer, 1983: A minimum assumption tornado risk model. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Tulsa, OK, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 128-131.

Mosher, F.R. and J.T. Schaefer, 1983: Lessons learned from the CSIS. Preprints, 9th Conf. on Aerospace and Aeronautical Meteorology, 1983, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor., 73-78.

Mosher, F.R., and J.T. Schaefer, 1983: "Lessons learned from the CSIS," Program on Short and Medium Range Weather Research (PSMP), Short and Medium Range Prediction Research Publication Series No. 5, World Meteorological Organization, Geneva, Switzerland, 33-38.

Siebers, A.L., and J.T. Schaefer, 1983: The temporal shear of the surface wind - a potential severe thunderstorm forecast tool. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Tulsa, OK, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 257-260.

Schaefer, J.T., L.R. Hoxit and C.R. Chappell, 1982: Thunderstorms and their mesoscale environment (Chapter VI). Thunderstorms - A Social Scientific and Technological Documentary: Vol. 2, Thunderstorm Morphology and Dynamics, E. Kessler, Ed., NOAA, Environmental Research Laboratories, 173-209.

Schaefer, J.T., 1982: CSIS - An operational experiment with interactive computer. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 82-1, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 1 pp.

Schaefer, J.T., and C.A. Doswell, III, 1982: A dynamic climatology of progressive tornado outbreaks obtained via empirical orthogonal function expansion. Preprints, 9th Conf. on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 459-464.

Schaefer, J.T., and J.G. Galway, 1982: Population biases in the tornado climatology. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 51-54.

Schaefer, J.T., and R.L. Livingston, 1982: A thermo-hydrodynamic indicator of severe convection potential. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 71-74.

Anthony, R.W., W.E. Carle, J.T. Schaefer, R.L. Livingston, A.L. Siebers, F.R. Mosher, J.T. Young, and T M. Whittaker, 1982: The Centralized Storm Information System at the NOAA Kansas City complex. Preprints, 9th Conf. on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 40-43.

Doswell, C.A. III, J.T. Schaefer, D.W. McCann, T.W. Schlatter, and H.B. Wobus, 1982: Thermodynamic analysis procedures at the National Severe Storms Forecast Center. Preprints, 9th Conf. on Weather Forecasting and Analysis, Seattle, WA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 304-309.

Kelly, D.L., and J.T. Schaefer, 1982: Implications of severe local storm warning verification. Preprints, 12th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, TX, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 459-462.

Schaefer, J.T., 1981: The tornado: A study of 29 years of data. Reinsurance, 13, 168-183.

Schaefer, J.T., and C.A. Doswell, III, 1980: The theory and application of antitriptic balance. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 746-755.

Schaefer, J.T., D.L. Kelly, C.A. Doswell, III, J.G. Galway, R.J. Williams, R.P. McNulty, L.R. Lemon, and B.D. Lambert, 1980: Tornadoes: When-Where-How Often. Weatherwise, 33, 52-59.

Schaefer, J.T., D.L. Kelly and R.F. Abbey, 1980: Tornado track characteristics and hazard probabilities. Wind Engineering, J. E. Cermak, Ed., Pergammon Press, pp. 95-110.

Schaefer, J.T., F.P. Ostby, C.A. Doswell, III, L.R. Lemon, R.P. McNulty, S.J. Weiss, and L.F. Wilson, 1980: Meeting review - 11th Conf. on Severe Local Storms. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 61, 23-29.

Weiss, S.J., D.L. Kelly, and J.T. Schaefer, 1980: New objective verification techniques at the National Severe Storms Forecast Center. Preprints, 8th Conf. Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Denver, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 412-419.

Schaefer, J.T., 1979: Weather queries. Answer to question: "Why do thunder and/or lightning seldom occur in winter?". Weatherwise, 32, 255.

Schaefer, J.T., and C.A. Doswell, III, 1979: On the interpolation of a vector field. Mon. Wea. Rev., 107, 458-476.

Galway, J.G., and J.T. Schaefer, 1979: Fowl Play - An undeniably true tornado oddity. Weatherwise, 32, 116-118.

Wilcox, W., J. Winkle, L. Benson, R. Donelson, W. Horowitz, M. Estes, P. Kerndut, and J.T. Schaefer, 1979: Tornado mortality - Wichita Falls, Texas. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 28, 1979, pp. 193-194.

Schaefer, J.T., and D.L. Kelly, 1979: Geographic assessment of tornado risk. NWS Central Region Tech. Attachment CR 79-6, National Weather Service, Central Region Headquarters, Kansas City, MO, 4 pp.

Schaefer, J.T., D.L. Kelly, and R.F. Abbey, Jr., 1979: Climatology of tornado parameters. Preprints, Workshop on Wind Climate, Institute for Disaster Research, Texas Tech. University, Lubbock, TX, 214-226.

McNulty, R.P., D.L. Kelly, and J.T. Schaefer, 1979: Frequency of tornado occurrence. Preprints, 11th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Kansas City, MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 222-226.

Schaefer, J.T., and C.A. Doswell, III, 1978: The inherent position errors in double theodolite PIBALmeasurements. J. Appl. Meteor., 17, 911-915.

Kelly, D.L., J.T. Schaefer, R.P. McNulty, C.A. Doswell, III, and R.F. Abbey, Jr., 1978: An augmented tornado climatology. Mon. Wea. Rev., 106, 1172-1183.

Schaefer, J.T., 1977: An improved second order finite difference analogue for the Laplacian operator. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 55, 511-517.

Schaefer, J.T., 1977: STAC committee statements on research opportunities and priorities in the atmospheric sciences. Workshop on the Future of National Atmospheric Research, Boston, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., pp. 127-131.

Schaefer, J.T., 1977: On the applicability of the divergence equation to severe storm forecasting. Preprints, 10th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 358-363.

Kelly, D. L., J.T. Schaefer, R.P. McNulty, C.A. Doswell, III, and R.F. Abbey, Jr., 1977: Presentation and interpretation of an expanded tornado climatology. Preprints, 10th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Omaha, NE, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 186-193.

Schaefer, J.T., 1976: Moisture features of the convective boundary layer in Oklahoma. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 102, 447-451.

Doswell, C.A. III, and J. T. Schaefer#, 1976: "Reply" to comments by Whitney. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 1105.

Doswell, C.A. III, and J.T. Schaefer#, 1976: On the relationship of cirrus clouds to the jet stream. Mon. Wea. Rev., 104, 105-106.

Schaefer, J.T., D.L. Kelly and R.F. Abbey, Jr., 1976: Tornado track characteristics and hazard probabilities. Proceedings, 5th Int. Conf. on Wind Engineering, Colorado State University, Ft. Collins, CO, 22 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1975: Non-linear biconstituent diffusion: A possible trigger of convection. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 2278-2284.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1975: "Reply" to comments by Mahrt. J. Atmos. Sci., 32, 636.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1975. Moisture stratification in the 'well-mixed' boundary layer. Preprints, 9th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Norman, OK. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 45-50.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1974: The life cycle of the dryline. J. of Appl. Meteor., 13, 444-449.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1974: A simulative model of dryline motion. J. Atmos. Sci., 31, 956-964.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1974: Cloud development near moisture discontinuities: A numerical study. Preprints, Conf. on Cloud Physics, Tucson, AZ, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 459-462.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1974: The environment near the dryline. Proceedings, SESAME Opening Meeting, Boulder, CO, NOAA, Environmental Research Laboratories, 206-218.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1973: On the solution of the generalized Ekman Equation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 101, 535-537.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1973: On the computation of the surface divergence field, J. Appl. Meteor., 12, 546-547.

Davies-Jones, R.P., J.H. Golden, and J.T. Schaefer#, 1973: Psychological response to tornadoes. Comments on an article by Sims and Baughman. Science, 180, 545.

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1973: Motion and morphology of the dryline. ERL-NSSL Tech. Memo. No. 66, National Severe Storms Laboratory, Norman, OK, 80 pp.

Schaefer, J.T.##, 1973: Morphology and motion of the dryline. Ph.D. Dissertation, Dept. of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, St. Louis University. (Available from University Microfilms, Ann Arbor, Michigan).

Schaefer, J.T.#, 1973: The motion of the dryline. Preprints, 8th Conf. on Severe Local Storms, Denver, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 104-107.

Kindle, E.C., R.L. Crisci, and J.T. Schaefer+, 1971: Numerical products as specific operational forecasting aids. Proceedings, 6th AWS Technical Exchange Conference, Published as Air Weather Service Technical Report No. 242, Air Weather Service (USAF), 183-201.

* Author affiliated with National Weather Service Training Center
** Author affiliated with National Weather Service Central Region Headquarters
# Affiliated with National Severe Storms Laboratory (ERL)
## Affiliated with Saint Louis University
+ Affiliated with Navy Weather Research Center

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Wasula, A.C., L.F. Bosart, R.S. Schneider, S.J. Weiss, R.H. Johns, G.S. Manikin, and P. Welsh, 2007: Mesoscale aspects of the rapid intensification of a tornadic convective line across central Florida: 22–23 February 1998. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 223-243.

Schneider, R.S., A.R. Dean, S.J. Weiss, and P.D. Bothwell, 2006: Analysis of estimated environments for 2004 and 2005 severe convective storm reports. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Dean, A.R., R.S. Schneider, and J.T. Schaefer, 2006: Development of a comprehensive severe weather forecast verification system at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 23nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM] CD-ROM.

Wasula A.C., L.F. Bosart, R.S. Schneider, S.J. Weiss, R.H. Johns, G.S. Manikin, and P. Welsh, 2004: The structure and climatology of boundary layer winds in the Southeast United States and its relationship to nocturnal tornado episodes. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis, MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. [CD-ROM]

Levit, J.J., V. Lakshmanan, K. Manross and R. S. Schneider, 2004: Integration of the Warning Decision Support System - integrated information into the NOAA Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms,Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Schneider, R.S., J.T. Schaefer, and H.E. Brooks, 2004: Tornado outbreak days: An updated and expanded climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Schneider, R.S., H.E. Brooks and J.T. Schaefer, 2004: Tornado outbreak day sequences: Historic events and climatology (1875-2003). Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Janish, P.R., S.J. Weiss, R. S. Schneider, J.P. Cupo, E. Szoke, J.M. Brown and C.L. Zeigler, 2002: Probabilistic convection initation forecasts in support of IHOP during the 2002 SPC/NSSL Spring Program. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 283-286.

Junker, N.W., R.S. Schneider*, and S.L. Fauver 1999: A study of heavy rainfall events during the Great Midwest Flood of 1993. Wea. Forecasting, 14, 701-712.

Junker, N.W. and R.S. Schneider*, 1997: Two case studies of quasi-stationary convection during the 1993 Great Midwest Flood. Natl. Wea. Dig., 21, 2, 5-17.

Junker, N.W., R.S. Schneider*, and S.L. Fauver, 1996: A comparison of heavy and extreme rainfall events during the Great Midwest Flood of 1993. Preprints, 15th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J120-J123.

Schneider, R.S.*, N. W. Junker, M. T. Eckert, and T. M. Considine, 1996: The performance of the 29 km Meso Eta model in support of forecasting at the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center. Preprints, 15th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Norfolk, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J111-J114.

Uccellini, L.W., P.J. Kocin, R.S. Schneider*, P.M. Stokols, and R.A. Dorr, 1995: Forecasting for the 12-14 March 1993 Superstorm. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 76, 183-199.

Schneider, R.S.*, G. J. DiMego, and R. A. Petersen, 1993: Regional forecast improvements using wind profiler data at the National Meteorological Center. Preprints, 13th Conf. on Weather Analysis and Forecasting, Vienna, VA, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 455-456.

Schneider, R.S.**, 1992: A comparison of intense extratropical cyclone life cycles from diverse geographical locations. Ph.D. Thesis, Dept. of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 245 pp.

Schneider, R.S.**, 1990: Large-amplitude mesoscale wave disturbances within the intense Midwest extratropical cyclone of 15 December 1987. Wea. Forecasting, 5, 533-558.

Schneider, R.S.**, 1990: Large-amplitude mesoscale wave disturbances within the intense Midwest extratropical cyclone of 15 December 1987. Preprints, 4th Conf. on Mesoscale Processes, Boulder, CO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 152-153.

Schneider, R.S.**, 1986: Quasi-Lagrangian diagnostics of the 9-14 April 1979 Great Plains extratropical cyclone and subsynoptic scales. M.S. Thesis, Dept. of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 152 pp.

Achtor, T.H., R.S. Schneider**, and D.R. Johnson, 1982: Earth and Planetary Atmospheric Circulations Viewed from Space: Educational Modules for the Atmospheric Sciences. Space Science and Engineering Center. University of Wisconsin-Madison. 42 pp. plus charts and data tabulations. (Includes manual and 30 minute videocassette).

Schneider, R.S.**, D.R. Johnson, T.H. Achtor, D.A. Edman, and C.H. Wash, 1981: Squall Line Development: Educational Modules for the Atmospheric Sciences. Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 70 pp. plus charts and data tabulations. (Includes manual, case study maps and 60 minute videocassette)

Achtor, T.H., D.A. Edman, D.R. Johnson, R. S. Schneider**, and C.H. Wash, 1981: Cyclogenesis: Educational Modules for the Atmospheric Sciences. Space Science and Engineering Center, University of Wisconsin-Madison (Listed alphabetically not order of authorship), 45 pp. plus charts and data tabulations. (Includes manual, case study maps and 60 minute videocassette).

* Author affiliated with Hydrometeorological Prediction Center (NWS/NCEP)
** Author affiliated with Dept. of Atmospheric and Ocean Sciences, University of Wisconsin-Madison

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Smith, B.T.*, C. Omitt, and J.L. Guyer, 2006: Characteristics of cool season severe environments in the Ohio Valley (1995-2006). Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

Smith, B.T.*, 2006: SVRGIS: Geographic Information System (GIS) Graphical Database of Tornado, Large Hail, and Damaging Wind Reports in the United States (1950-2005). Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc., CD-ROM.

* Author affiliated with NWS WFO at Indianapolis, IN.

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Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead and R. Edwards, 2007: Effective storm-relative helicity and bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Wea. Forecasting, 22, 102-115.

Doswell, C.A. III, R. Edwards, R.L. Thompson, J.A. Hart, and K.C. Crosbie, 2006: A simple and flexible method for ranking severe weather events. Wea. Forecasting, 21, 939-951.

Thompson, R.L., and C.M. Mead, 2006: Tornado failure modes in central and southern Great Plains severe thunderstorm episodes. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Goss, S.M., R.L. Thompson, and E. Bookbinder, 2006: An elevated supercell with damaging wind from the morning of 12 March 2006. Preprints, 23rd Conf. Severe Local Storms, St. Louis MO, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson and C.M. Mead, 2004: Assessment of anticyclonic supercell environments using close proximity soundings from the RUC model. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., C.M. Mead, and R. Edwards, 2004: Effective bulk shear in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: Effective storm-relative helicity in supercell thunderstorm environments. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, K.C. Crosbie, J.A. Hart, and C. A. Doswell III, 2004: Proposals for modernizing the definitions of tornado and severe thunderstorm outbreaks. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, and C.M. Mead, 2004: An update to the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters. Preprints, 22nd Conf. Severe Local Storms, Hyannis MA, Amer. Meteor. Soc. (CD ROM).

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart, K.L. Elmore and P.M. Markowski, 2003: Close proximity soundings within supercell environments obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1243-1261.

Markowski, P.M., C. Hannon, J. Frame, E. Lancaster, A. Pietrycha, R. Edwards and R.L. Thompson, 2003: Characteristics of vertical wind profiles near supercells obtained from the Rapid Update Cycle. Wea. Forecasting, 18, 1262-1272.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards and J.A. Hart, 2002: Evaluation and interpretation of the supercell composite and significant tornado parameters at the Storm Prediction Center.. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J11-J14.

Edwards, R., R.L. Thompson, and J.A. Hart, 2002: Verification of supercell motion forecast techniques. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J57-J60.

Bothwell, P.D., J.A. Hart and R.L. Thompson, 2002: An integrated three-dimensional objective analysis scheme in use at the Storm Prediction Center. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., J117-J120.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edwards, J.A. Hart and K.L. Elmore, 2002: RUC-2 model analysis soundings as a surrogate for observed soundings in supercell environments. Preprints, 21st Conf. Severe Local Storms, San Antonio, Amer. Meteor. Soc., 591-594.

Thompson, R.L., R. Edward