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A Major Severe Weather Outbreak is Forecast Today and/or Tonight
A severe weather outbreak appears increasingly likely, centered on this afternoon and evening, across a large portion of the Mississippi Valley. At least a few long-track, strong to potentially violent tornadoes are probable, particularly over portions of the Mid-Mississippi Valley to the Mid-South. Swaths of intense damaging wind gusts along with very large hail are expected as well.
 For additional details, see the current Public Severe Weather Outlook (PWO).
 A multi-media briefing is also available.

 Critical fire weather conditions are forecast today. See details...
 Critical fire weather conditions are forecast on Sat (04/01). See details...
Hazard Fri (03/31) Sat (04/01) Sun (04/02) Mon (04/03) Tue (04/04) Wed (04/05) Thu (04/06) Fri (04/07)
Severe High Slight No Severe No Area Severe No Area No Area No Area
Fire Critical Critical Critical Critical Critical No Area No Area No Area

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Severe Weather Climatology (1982-2011)

Any Severe Probabilities: 31 Mar

Tornado Probabilities: 31 Mar

Damaging Wind Probabilities: 31 Mar

Severe Hail Probabilities: 31 Mar

Significant Tornado Probabilities: 31 Mar

Significant Wind Probabilities: 31 Mar

Significant Hail Probabilities: 31 Mar

More severe weather climatology data here.
Today's Storm Report Trend
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Full-size plot here.
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La tormenta factor de riesgo.

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Page last modified: March 31 2023 12:40 UTC
Wildfire Climatology (1992-2015)

100 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 31 Mar

300 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 31 Mar

1000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 31 Mar

5000 Acres Wildfire Probabilities: 31 Mar

More wildfire climatology data here.
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Mar 26, 2023 Tornado: 1 Wind: 67 Hail: 96
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