Storm Prediction Center
Day 1 and Day 2 Fire Weather Outlooks

Day 1 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
Critical 37,099 693,527 Amarillo, TX...Roswell, NM...Clovis, NM...Hobbs, NM...Carlsbad, NM...

Click for Day 1 FireWX Areal Outline Product

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY1 ALL
   FNUS21 KWNS 040800

   Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0200 AM CST Thu Mar 04 2021

   Valid 041200Z - 051200Z

   ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN HIGH
   PLAINS....

   ...Synopsis...
   Critical fire weather conditions are expected in portions of the
   southern High Plains today.

   ...Southern High Plains...
   A closed mid-level low will move eastward across the southern
   Rockies today. Lee cyclogenesis is expected to begin in southeast
   Colorado early today before the surface low shifts southeastward
   into the Texas Panhandle by evening. As this pressure gradient
   tightens, winds are expected to increase to 20 to 30 mph across much
   of the southern High Plains. The strongest winds will be from
   southeast New Mexico into the western Texas Panhandle and eastern
   New Mexico where the pressure gradient will be strongest and where
   strong mid-level flow amid deep mixing will transport stronger winds
   to the surface. Some breezy southeasterly conditions are expected
   across Oklahoma and Kansas, but higher relative humidity and fuel
   moisture will mitigate the overall fire weather threat in these
   areas.

   ...North Carolina...
   Dry and breezy downslope flow is expected in the lee of the
   Appalachians today. The strongest winds of 15 to 20 mph are expected
   in North Carolina where relative humidity is also forecast to drop
   to 18 to 20 percent. Similar downslope flow scenarios and
   Wednesday's observed relative humidity suggests relative humidity
   may be even lower than this forecast. However, despite these dry and
   breezy conditions expected, fuels are still somewhat moist in the
   region. Coordination with local NWS offices suggests another day or
   two of drying may be sufficient to support large fire spread, but at
   this time, fuels are not supportive and therefore, no elevated
   delineation has been added.

   ..Bentley.. 03/04/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      
Day 2 Fire Weather Forecast graphic
Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast

Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)

   ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL
   FNUS22 KWNS 040805

   Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0205 AM CST Thu Mar 04 2021

   Valid 051200Z - 061200Z

   ...NO CRITICAL AREAS...

   ...Synopsis...
   ...Great Basin into the Northwest...
   Some dry and breezy conditions are expected in portions of the
   western Great Basin into eastern Oregon on Friday as strong
   mid-level flow overspreads the region and the surface pressure
   gradient strengthens. However, fuels in this area are still moist
   and therefore, no fire weather delineation is warranted. 

   ...Texas...
   Breezy conditions are expected in the wake of a cold front across
   Texas on Friday, but high relative humidity and cool temperatures
   will preclude the fire weather threat for much of this region. There
   will be a narrow area near the Rio Grande which may have elevated
   fire weather concerns, but this area is too small and conditions are
   too marginal at this time for an elevated area to be added. 

   ...Carolinas...
   Dry downslope flow is expected on Friday in the Carolinas. Low
   relative humidity is expected and fuels will likely be more dry
   after dry and breezy conditions on Thursday. However, winds are
   currently forecast to be lighter on Friday than Thursday which
   precludes fire weather concerns. However, this will be monitored and
   if 15+ mph winds appear more likely, an elevated area could be
   needed.

   ..Bentley.. 03/04/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

      

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