Skip Navigation Links weather.gov 
NOAA logo-Select to go to the NOAA homepage NOAA's National Weather Service   Select to go to the NWS homepage
Storm Prediction Center
navigation bar left  
  navigation bar end cap


 
USA.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.

Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Issued on Aug 3, 2022
Updated: Wed Aug 3 08:58:02 UTC 2022
Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Aug 3, 2022
Day 4 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Aug 3, 2022
Day 4 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Day 5 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Aug 3, 2022
Day 5 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Day 6 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Aug 3, 2022
Day 6 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Day 7 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Aug 3, 2022
Day 7 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
Day 8 Severe Weather Outlook Graphics Issued on Aug 3, 2022
Day 8 Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D4Sat, Aug 06, 2022 - Sun, Aug 07, 2022 D7Tue, Aug 09, 2022 - Wed, Aug 10, 2022
D5Sun, Aug 07, 2022 - Mon, Aug 08, 2022 D8Wed, Aug 10, 2022 - Thu, Aug 11, 2022
D6Mon, Aug 08, 2022 - Tue, Aug 09, 2022 (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC the following day)
Note: A severe weather area depicted in the Day 4-8 period indicates 15%, 30% or higher probability for severe thunderstorms within 25 miles of any point.
PREDICTABILITY TOO LOW is used to indicate severe storms may be possible based on some model scenarios. However, the location or occurrence of severe storms are in doubt due to: 1) large differences in the deterministic model solutions, 2) large spread in the ensemble guidance, and/or 3) minimal run-to-run continuity.
POTENTIAL TOO LOW means the threat for a regional area of organized severe storms appears unlikely (i.e., less than 15%) for the forecast day.
 Forecast Discussion

   ZCZC SPCSWOD48 ALL
   ACUS48 KWNS 030856
   SPC AC 030856

   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0356 AM CDT Wed Aug 03 2022

   Valid 061200Z - 111200Z

   ...DISCUSSION...
   A cold front will gradually shift southeastward from the northern
   Plains on Sat/D4 into the Southeast by D7/D8, as well as into the
   Northeast by that time, with widespread daily precipitation along
   it. In the upper levels, shear will continue to be weak across most
   of the CONUS, with upper highs across the Southwest, southern
   Plains, and Southeast. While small areas of stronger storm potential
   may exist at times along the aforementioned frontal zone, organized
   and/or significant severe weather events are unlikely.

   ..Jewell.. 08/03/2022

   CLICK TO GET WUUS48 PTSD48 PRODUCT
Weather Topics:
Watches, Mesoscale Discussions, Outlooks, Fire Weather, All Products, Contact Us

NOAA / National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
Storm Prediction Center
120 David L. Boren Blvd.
Norman, OK 73072 U.S.A.
spc.feedback@noaa.gov
Page last modified: August 03, 2022
Disclaimer
Information Quality
Help
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities