D3 | Tue, Apr 08, 2008 - Wed, Apr 09, 2008 | D6 | Fri, Apr 11, 2008 - Sat, Apr 12, 2008 |
D4 | Wed, Apr 09, 2008 - Thu, Apr 10, 2008 | D7 | Sat, Apr 12, 2008 - Sun, Apr 13, 2008 |
D5 | Thu, Apr 10, 2008 - Fri, Apr 11, 2008 | D8 | Sun, Apr 13, 2008 - Mon, Apr 14, 2008 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 060828 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0328 AM CDT SUN APR 06 2008 VALID 081200Z - 141200Z ...DISCUSSION... AN ACTIVE FIRE WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A LARGE UPPER TROUGH DEEPENS OVER THE SW AND MOVES EWD INTO THE PLAINS. THE FIRST DAY OF HIGH WINDS AND LOW RH WILL OCCUR OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN...WRN AZ AND THE DESERTS OF SRN CA ON TUE D3. LOW PRESSURE WILL DEEPEN NEAR SRN NV WITH 20-30 MPH WINDS LIKELY ALONG WITH RH IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE EWD INTO WED/D4...BRINGING HIGH WINDS TO MUCH OF SRN AND ERN NM AS WELL AS FAR W TX. VERY STRONG WLY FLOW IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE UPPER JET WILL LIKELY EXTEND CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS INTO THU D5 AS THE MAIN LOW DEVELOPS OVER OK. ONE CAVEAT WILL BE HOW MUCH PRECIPITATION FALLS OVER W TX ON WED. AREAS THAT DO NOT RECEIVE PRECIPITATION WILL SEE A CRITICAL FIRE THREAT DUE TO VERY STRONG WINDS AND LOW RH THUS PORTIONS OF THE D5 AREA WILL LIKELY BE MODIFIED AS THE EVENT NEARS. NWLY WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL DRIVE THE DRIER AIR SWD INTO DEEP S TX ON FRI D6 AS THE MAIN UPPER SYSTEM SHIFTS INTO THE UPPER MS VALLEY. GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RH WILL LIKELY PRODUCE CRITICAL FIRE CONDITIONS THERE WHERE DROUGHT PERSISTS. THIS TROUGH WILL CONTINUE NEWD INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION INTO THE WEEKEND WITH AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE SWRN STATES. ..JEWELL.. 04/06/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$