Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on May 17, 2008

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on May 17, 2008
D3Mon, May 19, 2008 - Tue, May 20, 2008 D6Thu, May 22, 2008 - Fri, May 23, 2008
D4Tue, May 20, 2008 - Wed, May 21, 2008 D7Fri, May 23, 2008 - Sat, May 24, 2008
D5Wed, May 21, 2008 - Thu, May 22, 2008 D8Sat, May 24, 2008 - Sun, May 25, 2008
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 170910
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0410 AM CDT SAT MAY 17 2008
   
   VALID 191200Z - 251200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   MEDIUM RANGE MODELS REMAIN IN REASONABLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
   EVOLUTION OF THE LARGE SCALE PATTERN ACROSS THE CONUS DURING THE DAY
   3-6 PERIOD. A STRONG ZONAL JET OVER THE NRN PACIFIC ON DAY 3 WILL
   BEGIN TO WEAKEN THE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE ROCKIES/WEST COAST. AN
   EMBEDDED SHORTWAVE WITHIN THIS FAST ZONAL FLOW OVER THE NRN PACIFIC
   WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF A LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH OVER THE WRN
   CONUS BEGINNING ON DAY 4. WARM /NEAR RECORD/ TEMPERATURES AHEAD OF
   THIS DEVELOPING TROUGH WILL SUPPORT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
   OVER THE SRN GREAT BASIN ON DAY 4 /TUE/ AS MODERATE SFC WINDS
   DEVELOP. THIS CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER THREAT WILL TRANSLATE EWD INTO
   THE SRN ROCKIES/SRN HIGH PLAINS ON DAY 5 /WED/ LASTING INTO DAY 6
   /THU/. BEYOND DAY 6...UNCERTAINTY IN THE LONGEVITY OF THE UPPER
   TROUGH OVER THE SWRN STATES/ROCKIES /DUE TO AMPLITUDE OF THE UPPER
   RIDGE BUILDING OVER THE CENTRAL/ERN STATES/ WILL PRECLUDE ADDITIONAL
   CRITICAL OUTLOOK AREAS.
   
   ..CROSBIE.. 05/17/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$