D3 | Tue, Jun 17, 2008 - Wed, Jun 18, 2008 | D6 | Fri, Jun 20, 2008 - Sat, Jun 21, 2008 |
D4 | Wed, Jun 18, 2008 - Thu, Jun 19, 2008 | D7 | Sat, Jun 21, 2008 - Sun, Jun 22, 2008 |
D5 | Thu, Jun 19, 2008 - Fri, Jun 20, 2008 | D8 | Sun, Jun 22, 2008 - Mon, Jun 23, 2008 |
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) |
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 150945 DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0445 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008 VALID 171200Z - 231200Z ...DISCUSSION... ON TUE D3...A LARGE UPPER TROUGH AND LOW WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE NERN STATES...EXTENDING SWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. WLY WINDS BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...FROM MD/VA SWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND GA. INDICATIONS ARE THAT SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION MAY FALL ON SUNDAY...AS WELL AS ON TUE MORNING. THUS...ALTHOUGH RH WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE 20 AND 30 PERCENT RANGE...AND WINDS WILL BE GUSTY...THE FIRE THREAT SHOULD BE MITIGATED BY SHORT TERM FUEL CONDITIONS. MEANWHILE...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE FOUR CORNERS STATES PROVIDING CONTINUING HOT AN DRY WEATHER. SINGLE DIGIT RH...A HIGH HAINES INDEX AND MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WIND GUSTS WILL MAINTAIN AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK ON TUE D3. FOR WED D4...THE UPPER RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN A BIT...BUT FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BE VERY STRONG. THEREFORE...WHILE SOME INCREASED WINDS ARE LIKELY OVER THE GREAT BASIN...SUSTAINED WINDS MAY NOT REACH HIGH ENOUGH SPEEDS FOR A LARGE SCALE CRITICAL THREAT. WINDS MAY BE A BIT STRONGER ON THU D5...AS INDICATED BY BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS. HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH AT THIS TIME FOR ANY CRITICAL AREAS. ..JEWELL.. 06/15/2008 ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT