Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jun 15, 2008

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 15, 2008
D3Tue, Jun 17, 2008 - Wed, Jun 18, 2008 D6Fri, Jun 20, 2008 - Sat, Jun 21, 2008
D4Wed, Jun 18, 2008 - Thu, Jun 19, 2008 D7Sat, Jun 21, 2008 - Sun, Jun 22, 2008
D5Thu, Jun 19, 2008 - Fri, Jun 20, 2008 D8Sun, Jun 22, 2008 - Mon, Jun 23, 2008
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 150945
   
   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0445 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2008
   
   VALID 171200Z - 231200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   ON TUE D3...A LARGE UPPER TROUGH AND LOW WILL AMPLIFY ACROSS THE
   NERN STATES...EXTENDING SWD INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. WLY WINDS
   BEHIND A COLD FRONT WILL BRING MUCH DRIER AIR INTO THE REGION...FROM
   MD/VA SWD ACROSS THE CAROLINAS AND GA. INDICATIONS ARE THAT
   SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION MAY FALL ON SUNDAY...AS WELL AS ON TUE
   MORNING. THUS...ALTHOUGH RH WILL LIKELY FALL INTO THE 20 AND 30
   PERCENT RANGE...AND WINDS WILL BE GUSTY...THE FIRE THREAT SHOULD BE
   MITIGATED BY SHORT TERM FUEL CONDITIONS.
   
   MEANWHILE...A STRONG UPPER RIDGE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OVER THE FOUR
   CORNERS STATES PROVIDING CONTINUING HOT AN DRY WEATHER. SINGLE DIGIT
   RH...A HIGH HAINES INDEX AND MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN WIND GUSTS WILL
   MAINTAIN AN ELEVATED FIRE RISK ON TUE D3. FOR WED D4...THE UPPER
   RIDGE WILL BREAK DOWN A BIT...BUT FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE IS NOT
   EXPECTED TO BE VERY STRONG. THEREFORE...WHILE SOME INCREASED WINDS
   ARE LIKELY OVER THE GREAT BASIN...SUSTAINED WINDS MAY NOT REACH HIGH
   ENOUGH SPEEDS FOR A LARGE SCALE CRITICAL THREAT. WINDS MAY BE A BIT
   STRONGER ON THU D5...AS INDICATED BY BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF MODELS.
   HOWEVER...CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH AT THIS TIME FOR ANY
   CRITICAL AREAS.
   
   ..JEWELL.. 06/15/2008
   
   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
   
   $$

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