Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jun 7, 2013
Updated: Fri Jun 7 19:52:03 UTC 2013
Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Sun, Jun 09, 2013 - Mon, Jun 10, 2013
D6
Wed, Jun 12, 2013 - Thu, Jun 13, 2013
D4
Mon, Jun 10, 2013 - Tue, Jun 11, 2013
D7
Thu, Jun 13, 2013 - Fri, Jun 14, 2013
D5
Tue, Jun 11, 2013 - Wed, Jun 12, 2013
D8
Fri, Jun 14, 2013 - Sat, Jun 15, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 071950
DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0250 PM CDT FRI JUN 07 2013
VALID 091200Z - 151200Z
MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT DURING THE DAY 3-8
PERIOD. AN UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
PERIOD WILL BUILD EASTWARD TOWARD THE PLAINS BY DAY 4/MON AND REMAIN
ENTRENCHED OVER THERE THROUGH DAY 8/FRI. ACROSS THE WEST...A SERIES
OF TROUGHS AND SHORTWAVE IMPULSES WILL MIGRATE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...LEADING TO SEVERAL DAYS OF ENHANCED DEEP
LAYER W/SW FLOW. AT THE SFC...HOT TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AND ADEQUATELY STRONG DEEP LAYER WINDS WILL LEAD TO
SEVERAL DAYS OF AT LEAST ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS.
ADDITIONALLY...SOME DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
SIERRAS ON DAY 3/SUN. ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS WILL MAINLY STAY
CONFINED TO AREAS OF THE GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS AS FURTHER NORTH
INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST FUEL CONDITIONS STILL REMAIN
UNFAVORABLE.
..LEITMAN.. 06/07/2013
...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT