Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jun 7, 2013

Updated: Fri Jun 7 19:52:03 UTC 2013

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 7, 2013
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 7, 2013

Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 7, 2013

Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 7, 2013

Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 7, 2013

Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 7, 2013

Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 7, 2013

Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, Jun 09, 2013 - Mon, Jun 10, 2013 D6Wed, Jun 12, 2013 - Thu, Jun 13, 2013
D4Mon, Jun 10, 2013 - Tue, Jun 11, 2013 D7Thu, Jun 13, 2013 - Fri, Jun 14, 2013
D5Tue, Jun 11, 2013 - Wed, Jun 12, 2013 D8Fri, Jun 14, 2013 - Sat, Jun 15, 2013
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 071950

   DAY 3-8 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK  
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   0250 PM CDT FRI JUN 07 2013

   VALID 091200Z - 151200Z

   MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT DURING THE DAY 3-8
   PERIOD. AN UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE WEST AT THE BEGINNING OF THE
   PERIOD WILL BUILD EASTWARD TOWARD THE PLAINS BY DAY 4/MON AND REMAIN
   ENTRENCHED OVER THERE THROUGH DAY 8/FRI. ACROSS THE WEST...A SERIES
   OF TROUGHS AND SHORTWAVE IMPULSES WILL MIGRATE ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
   AND INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...LEADING TO SEVERAL DAYS OF ENHANCED DEEP
   LAYER W/SW FLOW. AT THE SFC...HOT TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH DRY
   CONDITIONS AND ADEQUATELY STRONG DEEP LAYER WINDS WILL LEAD TO
   SEVERAL DAYS OF AT LEAST ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS.
   ADDITIONALLY...SOME DRY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE
   SIERRAS ON DAY 3/SUN. ELEVATED FIRE CONDITIONS WILL MAINLY STAY
   CONFINED TO AREAS OF THE GREAT BASIN/FOUR CORNERS AS FURTHER NORTH
   INTO THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST FUEL CONDITIONS STILL REMAIN
   UNFAVORABLE.

   ..LEITMAN.. 06/07/2013

   ...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/FIRE FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

   $$

   CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT