Day 3 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Experimental Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Sun, Nov 05, 2017 - Mon, Nov 06, 2017 | D6 | Wed, Nov 08, 2017 - Thu, Nov 09, 2017 |
| D4 | Mon, Nov 06, 2017 - Tue, Nov 07, 2017 | D7 | Thu, Nov 09, 2017 - Fri, Nov 10, 2017 |
| D5 | Tue, Nov 07, 2017 - Wed, Nov 08, 2017 | D8 | Fri, Nov 10, 2017 - Sat, Nov 11, 2017 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 032055 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 PM CDT Fri Nov 03 2017 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A quasi-zonal split-flow pattern will exist across the CONUS through at least D6/Wed - with the southern branch of flow overspreading areas of the southern Rockies and adjacent Great Plains during that period. Meanwhile at the surface, areas of lee troughing and transient areas of weak low pressure across portions of Oklahoma and Texas will favor areas of downslope flow in portions of eastern New Mexico and vicinity particularly on D3/Sun and D4/Mon afternoons. As a result, elevated fire weather conditions will exist on those afternoons as surface winds approach 20 mph and RH values fall to near-critical thresholds during peak heating. Beyond this period, a cooler and drier airmass will overspread portions of the southern Plains and diminish fire weather concerns. Any risk should remain low across the CONUS from D5/Tue onward. ..Cook.. 11/03/2017 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT