Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jun 10, 2021

Updated: Thu Jun 10 21:03:03 UTC 2021

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 10, 2021
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 10, 2021

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 10, 2021

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 10, 2021

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 10, 2021

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 10, 2021

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jun 10, 2021

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sat, Jun 12, 2021 - Sun, Jun 13, 2021 D6Tue, Jun 15, 2021 - Wed, Jun 16, 2021
D4Sun, Jun 13, 2021 - Mon, Jun 14, 2021 D7Wed, Jun 16, 2021 - Thu, Jun 17, 2021
D5Mon, Jun 14, 2021 - Tue, Jun 15, 2021 D8Thu, Jun 17, 2021 - Fri, Jun 18, 2021
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 102059

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0359 PM CDT Thu Jun 10 2021

   Valid 121200Z - 181200Z

   An upper-level ridge will begin to build back into the central and
   western parts of the CONUS from Saturday (Day 3) through Monday (Day
   5).  A series of shortwave troughs moving across the Pacific
   Northwest into Canada during this period will limit the western
   extent of the upper-level ridge and result in an increasing chance
   for thunderstorms across Oregon on Sunday (Day 4) and Monday (Day
   5).  Given the deep southerly flow across the region, there will
   likely be sufficient moisture for wetting rains with these storms. 

   Later in the extended period on Tuesday (Day 6) and Wednesday (Day
   7), a notable shortwave trough is forecast to breakdown the
   upper-level ridge across the Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies,
   and northern Plains.  While this pattern may be favorable for fire
   weather concerns, there is still too much uncertainty in the
   placement, timing, and strength of these features to introduce fire
   weather highlights at this time.

   ..Jirak.. 06/10/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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