Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Tue, Oct 19, 2021 - Wed, Oct 20, 2021 | D6 | Fri, Oct 22, 2021 - Sat, Oct 23, 2021 |
| D4 | Wed, Oct 20, 2021 - Thu, Oct 21, 2021 | D7 | Sat, Oct 23, 2021 - Sun, Oct 24, 2021 |
| D5 | Thu, Oct 21, 2021 - Fri, Oct 22, 2021 | D8 | Sun, Oct 24, 2021 - Mon, Oct 25, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 172038 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0338 PM CDT Sun Oct 17 2021 Valid 191200Z - 251200Z Fire weather concerns will primarily occur on D3/Tuesday in association with a deepening surface low over the central Plains and an attendant cold front. This feature will drive breezy conditions across much of the Plains and may support fire weather concerns in the lee of the Rockies where fuels are slowly curing. After this, long-range ensembles show high probability for upper-level ridging over the western half of the CONUS, which should mitigate the potential for widespread or robust fire weather concerns. ...D3/Tuesday - Southern High Plains... West to southwesterly winds are forecast to increase to 15-20 mph ahead of an approaching cold front Tuesday afternoon. Downslope warming and drying should yield RH values in the 15-25% range across northeast NM and eastern CO. Moisture return from the Gulf will limit the eastern extent of the fire weather threat. The most likely area for favorable overlap of elevated to critical winds and reduced RH lies across northeast NM into the OK/TX Panhandles. While fuels across this region are marginally receptive, dry conditions over the next 72 hours will help cure grassy fuels and support at least a low-end fire weather concern. ..Moore.. 10/17/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT