Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Tue, Oct 26, 2021 - Wed, Oct 27, 2021 | D6 | Fri, Oct 29, 2021 - Sat, Oct 30, 2021 |
| D4 | Wed, Oct 27, 2021 - Thu, Oct 28, 2021 | D7 | Sat, Oct 30, 2021 - Sun, Oct 31, 2021 |
| D5 | Thu, Oct 28, 2021 - Fri, Oct 29, 2021 | D8 | Sun, Oct 31, 2021 - Mon, Nov 01, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 242126 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0426 PM CDT Sun Oct 24 2021 Valid 261200Z - 011200Z Elevated to potentially critical conditions are expected across portions of the central and southern High Plains D3/Tuesday through at least D5/Thursday, as a strong upper trough and associated surface low move eastward across the central into the eastern CONUS. While fuels across some of this region are only marginally receptive, several days of dry and breezy conditions should allow for some curing of fuels, outside of areas that see wetting rainfall. ...D3/Tuesday... Critical fire-weather conditions are possible across portions of the central/southern High Plains on Tuesday afternoon, within a post-dryline regime. Some uncertainty remains regarding the eastward progression of the dryline during the afternoon, but west of the dryline, several hours of 20-25 mph sustained winds (with higher gusts) and RH in the 10-20% range are expected. At this time, the greatest threat appears to be across parts of eastern CO into far western KS, where critical conditions may develop within a region of somewhat greater fuel receptivity, per recent fuel guidance. ...D4/Wednesday - D5/Thursday... Elevated to potentially critical fire-weather conditions are expected within a post-frontal regime across parts of the central/southern High Plains on Wednesday and Thursday. Sustained northerly winds of 20-30 mph appear possible across a broad region, with the primary uncertainties related to the extent of heating and RH reduction, and receptivity of fuels (especially across the southern High Plains). Given the potential for near-critical RH combined with strong surface winds, 40% probabilities have been included for Wednesday and Thursday. Some threat may also spread into portions of south TX on Wednesday, especially for areas near the Rio Grande that do not see wetting rainfall prior to midweek. ..Dean.. 10/24/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT