Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Fri, Oct 29, 2021 - Sat, Oct 30, 2021 | D6 | Mon, Nov 01, 2021 - Tue, Nov 02, 2021 |
| D4 | Sat, Oct 30, 2021 - Sun, Oct 31, 2021 | D7 | Tue, Nov 02, 2021 - Wed, Nov 03, 2021 |
| D5 | Sun, Oct 31, 2021 - Mon, Nov 01, 2021 | D8 | Wed, Nov 03, 2021 - Thu, Nov 04, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 272138 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0438 PM CDT Wed Oct 27 2021 Valid 291200Z - 041200Z Deep troughing is forecast to continue across the southern half of the US through the end of the week and first part of the weekend, while mid-level ridging will intensify across the West. As mid-level heights build, winds are forecast to weaken across much of the western and central CONUS. The flow pattern will transition to predominately zonal by early next week with little in the way of strong flow interacting with remaining areas of dry fuels. At the surface, several frontal intrusions from southern Canada late in the weekend and early next week will usher in a cooler and drier airmass across the western and central US. Areas across the southern Plains may see some residual strong winds and lower surface humidity behind the departing trough and ahead of the cooler temperatures Day3/Friday. However, recent precipitation should limit fuel availability and subsequent fire weather potential. Increasing chances for precipitation are also expected across the West Coast and Intermountain West early next week ahead of a Pacific trough. While exact details remain scant, the current forecast trends appear unfavorable for significant fire weather potential through much of the long-term period. ..Lyons.. 10/27/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT