Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Sat, Oct 30, 2021 - Sun, Oct 31, 2021 | D6 | Tue, Nov 02, 2021 - Wed, Nov 03, 2021 |
| D4 | Sun, Oct 31, 2021 - Mon, Nov 01, 2021 | D7 | Wed, Nov 03, 2021 - Thu, Nov 04, 2021 |
| D5 | Mon, Nov 01, 2021 - Tue, Nov 02, 2021 | D8 | Thu, Nov 04, 2021 - Fri, Nov 05, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 282026 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0326 PM CDT Thu Oct 28 2021 Valid 301200Z - 051200Z A large upper-level trough over the eastern CONUS will continue lifting northeast and move offshore by D5/Monday. Meanwhile, another upper-level trough will shift south from central Canada into portions of the northern Great Plains and become quasi-stationary thereafter. A subtle ridge should also build into the West by the middle of next week. Mid-level flow within these features is forecast to gradually weaken throughout the period. Likewise, surface winds should remain generally weak where dry fuels are currently present, despite a few frontal passages associated with the aforementioned trough pattern. Perhaps some localized elevated fire-weather conditions are possible on D3/Sat across parts of West Texas and vicinity, associated with pre-frontal southwesterly winds and a residual dry low-level airmass. Otherwise, fire-weather concerns are expected to remain low through the balance of the long-tern period. ..Karstens.. 10/28/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT