Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Oct 29, 2021

Updated: Fri Oct 29 20:30:02 UTC 2021

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 29, 2021
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 29, 2021

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 29, 2021

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 29, 2021

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 29, 2021

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 29, 2021

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 29, 2021

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, Oct 31, 2021 - Mon, Nov 01, 2021 D6Wed, Nov 03, 2021 - Thu, Nov 04, 2021
D4Mon, Nov 01, 2021 - Tue, Nov 02, 2021 D7Thu, Nov 04, 2021 - Fri, Nov 05, 2021
D5Tue, Nov 02, 2021 - Wed, Nov 03, 2021 D8Fri, Nov 05, 2021 - Sat, Nov 06, 2021
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 292026

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0326 PM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021

   Valid 311200Z - 061200Z

   The general consensus of current guidance shows a broad upper low
   across the upper Midwest into southeast Canada along with a trough
   off the Northwest coast into early next week. Varying degrees of
   upper-level ridging are forecast by the long range models within the
   intermountain region by midweek. Uncertainty in the upper-level
   pattern increases sharply within that same early/mid week time
   frame. At the surface, high pressure will build in behind a cold
   front that will progress into the southern Plains. Depending on the
   evolution of the upper cyclone in the East, reinforcing cold air may
   eventually push the front into the northern Gulf later next week.
   Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal through the period.
   Some localized dry and windy conditions in the Southwest, ahead of
   the cold front, may occur.

   ..Wendt.. 10/29/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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