Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Oct 29, 2021
Updated: Fri Oct 29 20:30:02 UTC 2021
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Sun, Oct 31, 2021 - Mon, Nov 01, 2021
D6
Wed, Nov 03, 2021 - Thu, Nov 04, 2021
D4
Mon, Nov 01, 2021 - Tue, Nov 02, 2021
D7
Thu, Nov 04, 2021 - Fri, Nov 05, 2021
D5
Tue, Nov 02, 2021 - Wed, Nov 03, 2021
D8
Fri, Nov 05, 2021 - Sat, Nov 06, 2021
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 292026
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0326 PM CDT Fri Oct 29 2021
Valid 311200Z - 061200Z
The general consensus of current guidance shows a broad upper low
across the upper Midwest into southeast Canada along with a trough
off the Northwest coast into early next week. Varying degrees of
upper-level ridging are forecast by the long range models within the
intermountain region by midweek. Uncertainty in the upper-level
pattern increases sharply within that same early/mid week time
frame. At the surface, high pressure will build in behind a cold
front that will progress into the southern Plains. Depending on the
evolution of the upper cyclone in the East, reinforcing cold air may
eventually push the front into the northern Gulf later next week.
Fire weather concerns are expected to be minimal through the period.
Some localized dry and windy conditions in the Southwest, ahead of
the cold front, may occur.
..Wendt.. 10/29/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT