Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Oct 30, 2021

Updated: Sat Oct 30 19:34:02 UTC 2021

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 30, 2021
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 30, 2021

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 30, 2021

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 30, 2021

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 30, 2021

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 30, 2021

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Oct 30, 2021

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Mon, Nov 01, 2021 - Tue, Nov 02, 2021 D6Thu, Nov 04, 2021 - Fri, Nov 05, 2021
D4Tue, Nov 02, 2021 - Wed, Nov 03, 2021 D7Fri, Nov 05, 2021 - Sat, Nov 06, 2021
D5Wed, Nov 03, 2021 - Thu, Nov 04, 2021 D8Sat, Nov 06, 2021 - Sun, Nov 07, 2021
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 301930

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0230 PM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021

   Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

   Guidance suggests various degrees of troughing across the western
   and eastern United States, with a ridge across the Intermountain
   West. Cool and moist conditions within these troughs should limit
   overall fire concerns, particularly across the Pacific Northwest and
   areas east of the Rocky Mountains. 

   Continued dry conditions across portions of the Southwest may set
   the stage for local fire weather concerns as periods of gusty
   surface winds may occur with the passage of any midlevel short-wave
   troughs moving through the larger-scale midlevel pattern.
   Uncertainty with the timing of passage of any particular short-wave
   trough, and the overall marginality of resultant fire weather
   concerns, precludes the need for any probabilistic delineation.

   ..Marsh.. 10/30/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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