Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Oct 30, 2021
Updated: Sat Oct 30 19:34:02 UTC 2021
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Mon, Nov 01, 2021 - Tue, Nov 02, 2021
D6
Thu, Nov 04, 2021 - Fri, Nov 05, 2021
D4
Tue, Nov 02, 2021 - Wed, Nov 03, 2021
D7
Fri, Nov 05, 2021 - Sat, Nov 06, 2021
D5
Wed, Nov 03, 2021 - Thu, Nov 04, 2021
D8
Sat, Nov 06, 2021 - Sun, Nov 07, 2021
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 301930
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0230 PM CDT Sat Oct 30 2021
Valid 011200Z - 071200Z
Guidance suggests various degrees of troughing across the western
and eastern United States, with a ridge across the Intermountain
West. Cool and moist conditions within these troughs should limit
overall fire concerns, particularly across the Pacific Northwest and
areas east of the Rocky Mountains.
Continued dry conditions across portions of the Southwest may set
the stage for local fire weather concerns as periods of gusty
surface winds may occur with the passage of any midlevel short-wave
troughs moving through the larger-scale midlevel pattern.
Uncertainty with the timing of passage of any particular short-wave
trough, and the overall marginality of resultant fire weather
concerns, precludes the need for any probabilistic delineation.
..Marsh.. 10/30/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT