Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Wed, Nov 03, 2021 - Thu, Nov 04, 2021 | D6 | Sat, Nov 06, 2021 - Sun, Nov 07, 2021 |
| D4 | Thu, Nov 04, 2021 - Fri, Nov 05, 2021 | D7 | Sun, Nov 07, 2021 - Mon, Nov 08, 2021 |
| D5 | Fri, Nov 05, 2021 - Sat, Nov 06, 2021 | D8 | Mon, Nov 08, 2021 - Tue, Nov 09, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 012051 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0351 PM CDT Mon Nov 01 2021 Valid 031200Z - 091200Z Mid-level ridging will dominate the western CONUS Days 3-4/Wednesday-Thursday, before the first in a series of mid-level troughs traverses the northern Rockies Day 5/Friday. From Friday through Day 8/Monday, embedded mid-level impulses tracking across the northwest/north-central CONUS will reinforce surface lee-troughing across the High Plains, promoting brief instances of localized Elevated-equivalent surface conditions atop fuels that are modestly receptive (at best) to wildfire spread. Dry and breezy westerly surface flow is expected across portions of central into eastern Montana Day 5/Friday, followed by dry/breezy surface conditions across the central/southern High Plains Days 6-8/Saturday-Monday. Each day, some guidance consensus exists regarding the presence of near-critical to critical RH across the High Plains by peak afternoon heating. However, the stronger surface winds appear too localized for the inclusion of Critical probabilities, especially when considering the overall poor receptiveness of fuels to fire spread. ..Squitieri.. 11/01/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT