Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Thu, Nov 04, 2021 - Fri, Nov 05, 2021 | D6 | Sun, Nov 07, 2021 - Mon, Nov 08, 2021 |
| D4 | Fri, Nov 05, 2021 - Sat, Nov 06, 2021 | D7 | Mon, Nov 08, 2021 - Tue, Nov 09, 2021 |
| D5 | Sat, Nov 06, 2021 - Sun, Nov 07, 2021 | D8 | Tue, Nov 09, 2021 - Wed, Nov 10, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 022201 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0501 PM CDT Tue Nov 02 2021 Valid 041200Z - 101200Z The first in a series of mid-level troughs will traverse the Northern Rockies Day 3/Thursday, followed by the approach of a second, deeper upper trough on Days 4-5/Friday-Saturday. By Day 6/Sunday, the second upper trough ejects into the northern Plains as a third trough deepens across the western CONUS through Day 8/Tuesday. The low-level mass response will encompass an extended period of surface lee troughing across the High Plains. Locally dry and breezy conditions will be most likely across eastern Montana Day 4/Friday as the stronger mid-level flow from the first upper trough overspreads the area. As the second upper trough/stronger mid-level winds overspreads the Plains states, surface lee troughing may become enhanced, with dry and breezy westerly flow likely across the High Plains Day 6/Sunday afternoon. Finally, as the third upper trough approaches the Plains, dry and breezy conditions may return to the High Plains Day 8/Tuesday. At the moment, limited model agreement exists in overlapping critically dry/breezy conditions, with no Critical probabilities introduced, especially given the relatively poor receptiveness of fuels. ..Squitieri.. 11/02/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT