Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Fri, Nov 05, 2021 - Sat, Nov 06, 2021 | D6 | Mon, Nov 08, 2021 - Tue, Nov 09, 2021 |
| D4 | Sat, Nov 06, 2021 - Sun, Nov 07, 2021 | D7 | Tue, Nov 09, 2021 - Wed, Nov 10, 2021 |
| D5 | Sun, Nov 07, 2021 - Mon, Nov 08, 2021 | D8 | Wed, Nov 10, 2021 - Thu, Nov 11, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 032108 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0408 PM CDT Wed Nov 03 2021 Valid 051200Z - 111200Z A mid-level impulse embedded in broader cyclonic flow aloft will traverse the northern Rockies Day 3/Friday, with a stronger upper trough deepening across the interior West this weekend (Days 4-5). As the second upper trough pivots the broader mid-level cyclonic flow and ejects into the northern Plains, a third and more progressive upper trough will advance eastward across the West into the Plains Days 6-8/Monday-Wednesday. The result will be prolonged surface lee-troughing across the High Plains, where periodic dry and breezy conditions are likely. The best chance for Elevated to locally Critical equivalent conditions would be on Day 3/Friday across eastern Montana, and nearly every day Days 4-8/Saturday-Wednesday across the southern High Plains as stronger mid-level flow gradually overspreads the south-central CONUS. However, considerable uncertainty remains this outlook given the overall lack of guidance consensus and mediocre receptiveness of fuels to fire spread, with no Critical Probabilities introduced. ..Squitieri.. 11/03/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT