Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Sat, Nov 06, 2021 - Sun, Nov 07, 2021 | D6 | Tue, Nov 09, 2021 - Wed, Nov 10, 2021 |
| D4 | Sun, Nov 07, 2021 - Mon, Nov 08, 2021 | D7 | Wed, Nov 10, 2021 - Thu, Nov 11, 2021 |
| D5 | Mon, Nov 08, 2021 - Tue, Nov 09, 2021 | D8 | Thu, Nov 11, 2021 - Fri, Nov 12, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 042028 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0328 PM CDT Thu Nov 04 2021 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A mid-level trough will enter portions of the Pacific Northwest on D3/Saturday, and remain quasi-stationary through D6/Tuesday. Some amplification of the trough will occur during this period, with a series of downstream short-wave troughs progressing through the central/northern Rockies. Thereafter, the mid-level trough should shift eastward into the central/northern Plains by D7/Wednesday, with strong zonal/northwesterly mid-level flow entering the West in its wake. At the surface, southerly return flow should develop along the southern High Plains, while a cold front enters the region by D5/Monday. This front is forecast to stall as return flow redevelops by D7/Wednesday. Somewhat marginally enhanced surface winds and lowered RH may accompany these features, particularly on D4/Sunday across portions of northeast New Mexico, that may eventually warrant highlights for parts of the region. However, considerable uncertainty still exists the aforementioned synoptic features, as well as the receptiveness of fuels across the region, to introduce any probabilities at this time. ..Karstens.. 11/04/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT