Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Tue, Nov 09, 2021 - Wed, Nov 10, 2021 | D6 | Fri, Nov 12, 2021 - Sat, Nov 13, 2021 |
| D4 | Wed, Nov 10, 2021 - Thu, Nov 11, 2021 | D7 | Sat, Nov 13, 2021 - Sun, Nov 14, 2021 |
| D5 | Thu, Nov 11, 2021 - Fri, Nov 12, 2021 | D8 | Sun, Nov 14, 2021 - Mon, Nov 15, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 072038
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0238 PM CST Sun Nov 07 2021
Valid 091200Z - 151200Z
A mid/upper-level trough is forecast to deepen while moving across
the western CONUS and over the Rockies Day 3/Tuesday into Day
4/Wednesday. Thereafter, the trough is forecast to deepen further
while gradually shifting from the central Plains late Day
4/Wednesday to the Great Lakes region into Day 7/Saturday. As this
occurs, mid-level ridging is forecast to build across the
southwestern CONUS in the wake of the trough.
Overall, the potential for large-scale critical fire weather
conditions during the extend forecast period is relatively low.
While some lower-end fire weather conditions are possible Day
4/Wednesday across portions of the southern High Plains (as stronger
mid-level flow impinges on the area), the potential of critical
wind/rh overlapping critically receptive fuels is currently too low
to introduce probabilities.
..Elliott.. 11/07/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT