Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Nov 8, 2021
Updated: Mon Nov 8 22:28:03 UTC 2021
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Wed, Nov 10, 2021 - Thu, Nov 11, 2021
D6
Sat, Nov 13, 2021 - Sun, Nov 14, 2021
D4
Thu, Nov 11, 2021 - Fri, Nov 12, 2021
D7
Sun, Nov 14, 2021 - Mon, Nov 15, 2021
D5
Fri, Nov 12, 2021 - Sat, Nov 13, 2021
D8
Mon, Nov 15, 2021 - Tue, Nov 16, 2021
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 082225
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0425 PM CST Mon Nov 08 2021
Valid 101200Z - 161200Z
An upper-level trough will move across the central Plains on
Wednesday and amplify into an upper-level low over the Great Lakes
Thursday and into the early weekend. Meanwhile, an upper-level ridge
will strengthen across the western CONUS.
Northwest flow is anticipated across the southern High Plains in the
wake of this trough. This may lead to some dry and breezy conditions
in the region. However, these conditions are mostly expected in
areas where fuels are still quite moist. This pattern should support
some drying of fuels in the southern and central High Plains, but
fuels are not expected to become critically dry during the next 8
days.
Therefore, overall fire weather concerns remain low through the
long-term period.
..Bentley.. 11/08/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT