Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Fri, Nov 12, 2021 - Sat, Nov 13, 2021 | D6 | Mon, Nov 15, 2021 - Tue, Nov 16, 2021 |
| D4 | Sat, Nov 13, 2021 - Sun, Nov 14, 2021 | D7 | Tue, Nov 16, 2021 - Wed, Nov 17, 2021 |
| D5 | Sun, Nov 14, 2021 - Mon, Nov 15, 2021 | D8 | Wed, Nov 17, 2021 - Thu, Nov 18, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 102137 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0337 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z A large upper-level low will be centered over the Great Lakes at the start of the period. This will bring cool and/or moist conditions to much of the eastern CONUS. However, on the western periphery of this trough, some dry and breezy conditions may develop across portions of the central Plains beneath the stronger mid-level jet streak on Friday. Fuels in this region are not critically dry, but some high-end critical meteorological conditions are possible. Therefore, conditions will need to be monitored for a potential elevated delineation in later outlooks. On Saturday and Sunday, some dry and breezy conditions are possible in the southern High Plains in response to weak lee troughing. However, winds are expected to stay mostly light and fuels are not critically dry in the region. Therefore, no significant fire weather concerns are anticipated. Ridging is forecast to build over the western CONUS early next week with a stronger mid-level trough forecast to replace this ridge toward the middle of next week. This may bring some stronger winds to portions of the Southwest and Southern High Plains, but there is too much uncertainty with the evolution of the trough and fuels for any highlights at this time. ..Bentley.. 11/10/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT