Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Sun, Nov 14, 2021 - Mon, Nov 15, 2021 | D6 | Wed, Nov 17, 2021 - Thu, Nov 18, 2021 |
| D4 | Mon, Nov 15, 2021 - Tue, Nov 16, 2021 | D7 | Thu, Nov 18, 2021 - Fri, Nov 19, 2021 |
| D5 | Tue, Nov 16, 2021 - Wed, Nov 17, 2021 | D8 | Fri, Nov 19, 2021 - Sat, Nov 20, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 121945 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0145 PM CST Fri Nov 12 2021 Valid 141200Z - 201200Z The longwave pattern will feature a trough in the East with a ridge in the West late this weekend into early next week. The surface pattern in this regime is not expected to support large-scale fire weather concerns. By Tuesday, however, upper-level ridging will begin to break down as a trough moves through the Northwest and into the central Rockies. With a fairly strong surface response expected in the High Plains region, dry and windy conditions appear probable, with a focus on the southern High Plains. Confidence is moderate in meteorologically critical conditions occurring; however, recent fuel guidance does not show critically dry fuels. With some degree of curing set to occur prior to Tuesday, highlights will be deferred until confidence in dry fuels increases. After the passage of the upper trough, a cold front will move through the southern Plains and zonal flow aloft is expected to remain through the rest of the week. Fire weather conditions are expected to improve behind the front with perhaps some areas of dry and breezy north winds on the Plains. ..Wendt.. 11/12/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT