Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Thu, Nov 25, 2021 - Fri, Nov 26, 2021 | D6 | Sun, Nov 28, 2021 - Mon, Nov 29, 2021 |
| D4 | Fri, Nov 26, 2021 - Sat, Nov 27, 2021 | D7 | Mon, Nov 29, 2021 - Tue, Nov 30, 2021 |
| D5 | Sat, Nov 27, 2021 - Sun, Nov 28, 2021 | D8 | Tue, Nov 30, 2021 - Wed, Dec 01, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 232158 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0358 PM CST Tue Nov 23 2021 Valid 251200Z - 011200Z An upper trough will move eastward across the central and eastern CONUS through the period, with a belt of enhanced northwesterly midlevel flow becoming established across the Great Plains. At the same time, a midlevel cut-off low will develop over the Southwest and meander over the Baja Peninsula through around Day 4/Friday, resulting in deep northeasterly offshore flow over southern California. By Day 6/Sunday, an upper ridge will build over much of the West and persist through the remainder of the period. ...Days 3-4/Thursday-Friday - Southern California... Deep northeasterly offshore flow will persist from Day 3/Thursday through Day 4/Friday, with poor RH recoveries expected overnight. The best overlap of 20+ mph surface winds and 15% RH is expected on Thursday, hence the introduction of 70% Critical probabilities. Winds will gradually subside on Friday, with critically low RH remaining in place through the morning, with 40% probabilities introduced. ...Days 3-5/Thursday-Saturday - Central and Southern High Plains... Enhanced northwesterly midlevel flow will support periods of locally dry and breezy conditions each afternoon, though confidence in timing/coverage of these conditions remains too low to include any Critical probabilities at this time. ..Weinman/Squitieri.. 11/23/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT