Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Fri, Nov 26, 2021 - Sat, Nov 27, 2021 | D6 | Mon, Nov 29, 2021 - Tue, Nov 30, 2021 |
| D4 | Sat, Nov 27, 2021 - Sun, Nov 28, 2021 | D7 | Tue, Nov 30, 2021 - Wed, Dec 01, 2021 |
| D5 | Sun, Nov 28, 2021 - Mon, Nov 29, 2021 | D8 | Wed, Dec 01, 2021 - Thu, Dec 02, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 242020 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0220 PM CST Wed Nov 24 2021 Valid 261200Z - 021200Z The extended period will begin with a surface pressure gradient weakening across southern California as a cut-off upper low weakens and drifts away from the Baja Peninsula Day 3/Friday. An offshore flow event is expected to be waning by Friday afternoon, though the presence of breezy northeasterly surface conditions with critically low RH warrants the maintenance of 40% Critical probabilities. Across the central and eastern CONUS, a broad northwesterly flow regime will prevail aloft Days 3-8/Friday-Wednesday, with multiple mid-level troughs pivoting around the northwesterly flow and encouraging modestly dry and breezy conditions from the High Plains to the Southeast each day. Surface cold fronts are poised to track across the Southeast Days 3 and 6 (Friday and Monday), and High Plains Day 4/Saturday, encouraging Elevated equivalent surface RH and modest northwesterly surface winds. While no Critical probabilities have been introduced, a couple Elevated introductions cannot be ruled out in future Day 1/2 Outlooks. ..Squitieri.. 11/24/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT