Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Nov 25, 2021

Updated: Thu Nov 25 20:57:03 UTC 2021

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 25, 2021
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 25, 2021

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 25, 2021

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 25, 2021

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 25, 2021

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 25, 2021

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 25, 2021

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sat, Nov 27, 2021 - Sun, Nov 28, 2021 D6Tue, Nov 30, 2021 - Wed, Dec 01, 2021
D4Sun, Nov 28, 2021 - Mon, Nov 29, 2021 D7Wed, Dec 01, 2021 - Thu, Dec 02, 2021
D5Mon, Nov 29, 2021 - Tue, Nov 30, 2021 D8Thu, Dec 02, 2021 - Fri, Dec 03, 2021
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 252053

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0253 PM CST Thu Nov 25 2021

   Valid 271200Z - 031200Z

   A broad northwesterly flow regime will prevail aloft across the
   central and eastern U.S., with embedded mid-level impulses
   traversing the eastern half of the CONUS through the extended
   period. Upper ridging and surface high pressure dominating the
   southwestern/south-central U.S. into the middle of next week will
   support cool but dry conditions from California to the central
   Plains. Similarly, dry low-level conditions are also likely across
   the Southeast through the extended period. As such, localized
   wildfire-spread threats may develop anywhere from southern
   California to South Carolina wherever windy surface conditions
   occur. However, short to medium-range guidance suggests that the
   predictability in identifying areas of overlapping Critical surface
   winds/RH remains too low to highlight this outlook.

   ..Squitieri.. 11/25/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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