Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Nov 25, 2021
Updated: Thu Nov 25 20:57:03 UTC 2021
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Sat, Nov 27, 2021 - Sun, Nov 28, 2021
D6
Tue, Nov 30, 2021 - Wed, Dec 01, 2021
D4
Sun, Nov 28, 2021 - Mon, Nov 29, 2021
D7
Wed, Dec 01, 2021 - Thu, Dec 02, 2021
D5
Mon, Nov 29, 2021 - Tue, Nov 30, 2021
D8
Thu, Dec 02, 2021 - Fri, Dec 03, 2021
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 252053
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0253 PM CST Thu Nov 25 2021
Valid 271200Z - 031200Z
A broad northwesterly flow regime will prevail aloft across the
central and eastern U.S., with embedded mid-level impulses
traversing the eastern half of the CONUS through the extended
period. Upper ridging and surface high pressure dominating the
southwestern/south-central U.S. into the middle of next week will
support cool but dry conditions from California to the central
Plains. Similarly, dry low-level conditions are also likely across
the Southeast through the extended period. As such, localized
wildfire-spread threats may develop anywhere from southern
California to South Carolina wherever windy surface conditions
occur. However, short to medium-range guidance suggests that the
predictability in identifying areas of overlapping Critical surface
winds/RH remains too low to highlight this outlook.
..Squitieri.. 11/25/2021
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT