Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Nov 30, 2021

Updated: Tue Nov 30 22:03:02 UTC 2021

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 30, 2021
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 30, 2021

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 30, 2021

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 30, 2021

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 30, 2021

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 30, 2021

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 30, 2021

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Thu, Dec 02, 2021 - Fri, Dec 03, 2021 D6Sun, Dec 05, 2021 - Mon, Dec 06, 2021
D4Fri, Dec 03, 2021 - Sat, Dec 04, 2021 D7Mon, Dec 06, 2021 - Tue, Dec 07, 2021
D5Sat, Dec 04, 2021 - Sun, Dec 05, 2021 D8Tue, Dec 07, 2021 - Wed, Dec 08, 2021
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 302159

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0359 PM CST Tue Nov 30 2021

   Valid 021200Z - 081200Z

   A mid/upper-level trough and upstream speed maximum will overspread
   portions of the Mid-Atlantic states early in the period, while a
   belt of enhanced midlevel west-northwesterly flow persists across
   much of the northern CONUS through late in the period. A related
   surface cyclone will move gradually eastward across eastern Canada
   on Days 3-4/Thursday-Friday, resulting in an enhanced pressure
   gradient and breezy surface winds across most of the Mid-Atlantic
   and Northeast. Late this week into early next week, an upper ridge
   will gradually break down over portions of the Great Basin as
   midlevel west-northwesterly flow develops over the West.

   ...Days 3-4/Thursday-Friday - Mid-Atlantic...
   The enhanced pressure gradient peripheral to the surface cyclone
   over Canada will support a brief period of dry and breezy
   conditions, with locally Elevated fire-weather conditions possible
   over mainly higher terrain-favored areas. 

   ...Days 3-6/Thursday-Sunday - Central and Southern High Plains...
   Persistent downslope flow along with a weak surface low migrating
   southward across the Great Plains will support periods of locally
   Elevated fire-weather conditions each afternoon. Confidence in the
   timing/coverage of these conditions is currently low, precluding
   fire-weather highlights at this time. 

   ...Days 6-7/Sunday-Monday - Southern California...
   Offshore flow will develop once again, potentially supporting
   locally Elevated fire-weather conditions aided by enhanced midlevel
   northeasterly flow.

   ..Weinman/Bentley.. 11/30/2021

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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