Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Mon, Dec 06, 2021 - Tue, Dec 07, 2021 | D6 | Thu, Dec 09, 2021 - Fri, Dec 10, 2021 |
| D4 | Tue, Dec 07, 2021 - Wed, Dec 08, 2021 | D7 | Fri, Dec 10, 2021 - Sat, Dec 11, 2021 |
| D5 | Wed, Dec 08, 2021 - Thu, Dec 09, 2021 | D8 | Sat, Dec 11, 2021 - Sun, Dec 12, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 042102 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0302 PM CST Sat Dec 04 2021 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A more active weather pattern is expected through the upcoming work week as the upper-level ridge over the eastern Pacific/western CONUS retrogrades into the northern Pacific. Long-range ensemble guidance hints at a series of shortwave troughs propagating into the central U.S. mid to late week that will introduce opportunities for windy conditions across the Southwest as well as the northern and southern High Plains. However, precipitation chances and cold air intrusions associated with these disturbances will likely mitigate the potential for widespread/robust fire weather concerns for the western and northern U.S. The southern High Plains will see the highest potential for regional fire weather concerns in the extended period. A dry frontal passage on D3/Monday may lead to transient elevated conditions across western and central TX, but the temporal overlap of stronger morning winds and lower afternoon RH is uncertain. The probability for wetting precipitation will remain low through D7/Friday while strong wind signals are noted from D5/Wednesday into D7/Friday, which may support fire weather concerns. Although this general pattern change seems likely, confidence in any details remains too low to introduce probabilities, though trends will be monitored. ..Moore.. 12/04/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT