Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Fri, Dec 17, 2021 - Sat, Dec 18, 2021 | D6 | Mon, Dec 20, 2021 - Tue, Dec 21, 2021 |
| D4 | Sat, Dec 18, 2021 - Sun, Dec 19, 2021 | D7 | Tue, Dec 21, 2021 - Wed, Dec 22, 2021 |
| D5 | Sun, Dec 19, 2021 - Mon, Dec 20, 2021 | D8 | Wed, Dec 22, 2021 - Thu, Dec 23, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 152157 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0357 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021 Valid 171200Z - 231200Z The probability of Critical fire-weather conditions appears too low to introduce any delineations at this time. Strong midlevel west-southwesterly flow accompanying a low-amplitude large-scale trough will advance eastward from the Great Plains toward the Northeast coast through the period. Behind the trough, cold surface ridging will overspread the Great Plains, while modest westerly midlevel flow maintains surface troughing in the lee of the Rockies. Farther west, a large-scale ridge will briefly build over the Intermountain West, while an upper-level cutoff low meanders over the California Baja Peninsula. By late this weekend into early next week, the large-scale ridge will breakdown as a belt of strong midlevel southwesterlies move ashore over the West Coast. ...Central and Southern High Plains... Periods of locally dry and breezy conditions will be possible across parts of the central and southern High Plains during the extended period. With that said, generally cool surface temperatures and a lack of substantial midlevel flow should limit the overall fire-weather threat. ...Days 3-5/Friday-Sunday - Southern California... As the midlevel ridge briefly builds over the western CONUS, enhanced deep-layer northeasterly flow and associated downslope drying will materialize over parts of southern California on Days 3-5/Friday-Sunday. However, upon collaboration with local fuel experts, fuels are expected to remain unsupportive of wildfire-spread due to the recent/ongoing heavy rainfall across the region. ..Weinman/Lyons.. 12/15/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT