Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Sat, Dec 18, 2021 - Sun, Dec 19, 2021 | D6 | Tue, Dec 21, 2021 - Wed, Dec 22, 2021 |
| D4 | Sun, Dec 19, 2021 - Mon, Dec 20, 2021 | D7 | Wed, Dec 22, 2021 - Thu, Dec 23, 2021 |
| D5 | Mon, Dec 20, 2021 - Tue, Dec 21, 2021 | D8 | Thu, Dec 23, 2021 - Fri, Dec 24, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 162141 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0341 PM CST Thu Dec 16 2021 Valid 181200Z - 241200Z A progressive mid-level flow regime is forecast to continue across the CONUS through the extended period. Initially split westerly flow will consolidate late this weekend ahead of a Pacific trough moving onshore. Modest flow will gradually strengthen, overspreading the Plains and central CONUS through midweek next week. At the surface, a cold front is forecast to dive south through the Plains late Day2/Friday. In its wake, cold temperatures and stable high pressure will develop over the central Plains limiting the potential overlap of dry and windy conditions. Periods of lee troughing and breezy southerly flow may return along the central and southern High Plains late Day4/Sunday through early next. Somewhat enhanced surface flow and gradually accelerating flow aloft may support surface winds near 15-20 mph. Model differences remain large on the nature of surface humidity and wind speeds in theses areas suggesting low confidence in sustained fire weather potential. Given the uncertainty, no probabilities will be introduced as overall fire weather concerns across much of the lower 48 are low. ..Lyons.. 12/16/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT