Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Sun, Dec 19, 2021 - Mon, Dec 20, 2021 | D6 | Wed, Dec 22, 2021 - Thu, Dec 23, 2021 |
| D4 | Mon, Dec 20, 2021 - Tue, Dec 21, 2021 | D7 | Thu, Dec 23, 2021 - Fri, Dec 24, 2021 |
| D5 | Tue, Dec 21, 2021 - Wed, Dec 22, 2021 | D8 | Fri, Dec 24, 2021 - Sat, Dec 25, 2021 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 172156 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0356 PM CST Fri Dec 17 2021 Valid 191200Z - 251200Z A belt of strong westerly midlevel flow accompanied by a series of embedded shortwave troughs will generally remain confined to the northern CONUS through the period, while a southern-stream trough advances eastward across the southern states. Modestly enhanced midlevel winds peripheral to this stronger flow area will persist across the Rockies, favoring downslope-related warming/drying and surface lee troughing amid a dry antecedent airmass. ...Central and Southern High Plains... Periods of dry and breezy conditions are expected across the central and southern High Plains through the extended period, aided by the persistent downslope flow and lee troughing. These factors, combined with mostly receptive fuels across the High Plains will likely support periods of Elevated to locally Critical conditions from Day 3/Sunday through Day 6/Wednesday. With that said, substantial differences amongst the medium-range model guidance casts uncertainty on where the best overlap of low RH and breezy surface winds will reside, precluding delineations at this time. ..Weinman.. 12/17/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT