Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Sat, Jan 01, 2022 - Sun, Jan 02, 2022 | D6 | Tue, Jan 04, 2022 - Wed, Jan 05, 2022 |
| D4 | Sun, Jan 02, 2022 - Mon, Jan 03, 2022 | D7 | Wed, Jan 05, 2022 - Thu, Jan 06, 2022 |
| D5 | Mon, Jan 03, 2022 - Tue, Jan 04, 2022 | D8 | Thu, Jan 06, 2022 - Fri, Jan 07, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 302116 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0316 PM CST Thu Dec 30 2021 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z A mid/upper-level trough is forecast to amplify as it moves from the Southwest and into the Plains Day 3/Saturday and then into the Southeast Day 4/Sunday. Thereafter, mid-level ridging is forecast to build across the Western United States Day 3/Saturday into Day 4/Sunday, before an area of mostly-zonal enhanced mid-level flow spreads back across the West Day 5/Monday and then over the Plains Day 6/Tuesday. ...Day 3/Saturday: Transpecos to Edwards Plateau in Texas... Elevated fire weather conditions are possible across portions of the Transpecos and Edwards Plateau Day 3/Saturday as very strong mid-level flow near the base of the aforementioned mid-level trough overspreads the area. While strong/gusty westerly surface winds are anticipated, there remains large uncertainty regarding minimum RH reductions. Furthermore, fuel guidance suggests that fuels may not be critically receptive across much of this area. Nonetheless, at least locally elevated fire weather conditions will be possible given the strength of the low-level wind field and at least modestly receptive fuels. ...Day 5/Monday - Day 7/Wednesday: southern High Plains... Larger-scale fire weather concerns may reemerge across portions of the southern High Plains early next week as enhanced mid-level flow returns and lee surface troughing strengthens promoting dry return flow. However, uncertainty regarding the timing and magnitude of the enhanced mid-level flow coupled with the potential for at least some wetting rainfall across portions of the area Day 2/Friday and Day 3/Saturday preclude introducing Critical probabilities at this time. ..Elliott.. 12/30/2021 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT