Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Thu, Jan 06, 2022 - Fri, Jan 07, 2022 | D6 | Sun, Jan 09, 2022 - Mon, Jan 10, 2022 |
| D4 | Fri, Jan 07, 2022 - Sat, Jan 08, 2022 | D7 | Mon, Jan 10, 2022 - Tue, Jan 11, 2022 |
| D5 | Sat, Jan 08, 2022 - Sun, Jan 09, 2022 | D8 | Tue, Jan 11, 2022 - Wed, Jan 12, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 042148 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CST Tue Jan 04 2022 Valid 061200Z - 121200Z A strong shortwave trough will move through the central and southern Plains on Thursday. In its wake, an arctic airmass will continue to move southward into the Plains. These features will shift into eastern portions of the U.S. by Friday and Saturday. Portions of the Southwest and southern Plains into the weekend with an upper ridge amplifying and moving east. The next shortwave trough to impact the southern Plains is forecast to reach the region on Saturday. This trough will also be accompanied by an cold airmass that will move into the middle portions of the country by early next week. Models remain in good agreement into Tuesday where a trough amplifies across the upper Midwest and Northeast and another reinforcing arctic airmass moves south and east out of Canada. ...Southern High Plains... Fire weather concerns continue to be focused in this region where models show little potential for precipitation through the period. With the approach of the next trough from the west, both Friday and Saturday should see some increase in dry and windy conditions across the region with above average temperatures. For Friday, there is uncertainty with regard to the duration of critically low RH. The position of the surface low on Saturday should promote more favorable downslope winds which gives greater confidence in RH reductions to near 15%. As such, there is a 40% probability for critical fire weather on Saturday. ..Wendt.. 01/04/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT