Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Sat, Jan 08, 2022 - Sun, Jan 09, 2022 | D6 | Tue, Jan 11, 2022 - Wed, Jan 12, 2022 |
| D4 | Sun, Jan 09, 2022 - Mon, Jan 10, 2022 | D7 | Wed, Jan 12, 2022 - Thu, Jan 13, 2022 |
| D5 | Mon, Jan 10, 2022 - Tue, Jan 11, 2022 | D8 | Thu, Jan 13, 2022 - Fri, Jan 14, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 062011 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0211 PM CST Thu Jan 06 2022 Valid 081200Z - 141200Z An upper-level trough within the Great Basin will shift into the Plains this weekend before intensifying across eastern portions of the U.S. early next week. A surface high pressure system will also continue to push eastward ahead the upper trough. Southerly winds will return to parts of the southern Plains as a lee trough develops this Friday and Saturday. As the trough passes to the east, another cold front and surface high pressure system will move southward through the Plains, reaching the Gulf coast late Sunday into Monday. Upper ridging will develop in the West this weekend. Models continue to forecast an upper low developing off the California coast and moving into the Southwest and southern Plains around the middle of next week. However, this pattern is inherently less predictable. Cool/cold temperatures as well as precipitation will limit fire weather concerns for most areas. ...Southern High Plains... Another day of dry and windy downslope winds are expected on Saturday ahead of the approaching cold front from the north. Above normal temperatures should support RH of 15-20% with perhaps some locally drier areas. Winds of 15-20 mph are generally expected with some areas of terrain enhancement possible. Mid/upper clouds may limit boundary-layer mixing and gust potential. Confidence in critical fire weather remains at 40% as such conditions may only occur locally. Gusty winds with perhaps marginally reduced RH values are possible across the region again on Tuesday. Given the recent cold air that will have arrived, confidence in RH being critically low is not sufficient for highlights. ..Wendt.. 01/06/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT