Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jan 7, 2022

Updated: Fri Jan 7 20:01:02 UTC 2022

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2022
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2022

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2022

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2022

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2022

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2022

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 7, 2022

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, Jan 09, 2022 - Mon, Jan 10, 2022 D6Wed, Jan 12, 2022 - Thu, Jan 13, 2022
D4Mon, Jan 10, 2022 - Tue, Jan 11, 2022 D7Thu, Jan 13, 2022 - Fri, Jan 14, 2022
D5Tue, Jan 11, 2022 - Wed, Jan 12, 2022 D8Fri, Jan 14, 2022 - Sat, Jan 15, 2022
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 071957

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0157 PM CST Fri Jan 07 2022

   Valid 091200Z - 151200Z

   A broad mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic in the Days
   3-4/Sunday-Monday time frame, with northwesterly flow aloft
   dominating the eastern half of the CONUS into Day 8/Friday. Overall
   cool and/or moist surface conditions will prevail across much of the
   CONUS, limiting widespread significant wildfire spread threats. The
   one exception may be the southern High Plains towards the middle of
   next week. A 500 mb cut-off low is expected to gradually impinge on
   the southern Plains region Days 4-6/Monday-Wednesday, encouraging
   modest surface lee-troughing across the southern High Plains.
   Modestly dry and breezy southwesterly surface winds are possible
   across the southern High Plains Day 5/Tuesday, though confidence in
   Critical conditions is too low to introduce Critical probabilities
   this outlook.

   ..Squitieri.. 01/07/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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