Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jan 7, 2022
Updated: Fri Jan 7 20:01:02 UTC 2022
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Sun, Jan 09, 2022 - Mon, Jan 10, 2022
D6
Wed, Jan 12, 2022 - Thu, Jan 13, 2022
D4
Mon, Jan 10, 2022 - Tue, Jan 11, 2022
D7
Thu, Jan 13, 2022 - Fri, Jan 14, 2022
D5
Tue, Jan 11, 2022 - Wed, Jan 12, 2022
D8
Fri, Jan 14, 2022 - Sat, Jan 15, 2022
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 071957
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0157 PM CST Fri Jan 07 2022
Valid 091200Z - 151200Z
A broad mid-level trough will eject into the Atlantic in the Days
3-4/Sunday-Monday time frame, with northwesterly flow aloft
dominating the eastern half of the CONUS into Day 8/Friday. Overall
cool and/or moist surface conditions will prevail across much of the
CONUS, limiting widespread significant wildfire spread threats. The
one exception may be the southern High Plains towards the middle of
next week. A 500 mb cut-off low is expected to gradually impinge on
the southern Plains region Days 4-6/Monday-Wednesday, encouraging
modest surface lee-troughing across the southern High Plains.
Modestly dry and breezy southwesterly surface winds are possible
across the southern High Plains Day 5/Tuesday, though confidence in
Critical conditions is too low to introduce Critical probabilities
this outlook.
..Squitieri.. 01/07/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT