Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Mon, Jan 10, 2022 - Tue, Jan 11, 2022 | D6 | Thu, Jan 13, 2022 - Fri, Jan 14, 2022 |
| D4 | Tue, Jan 11, 2022 - Wed, Jan 12, 2022 | D7 | Fri, Jan 14, 2022 - Sat, Jan 15, 2022 |
| D5 | Wed, Jan 12, 2022 - Thu, Jan 13, 2022 | D8 | Sat, Jan 15, 2022 - Sun, Jan 16, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 082053 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook CORR 1 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0253 PM CST Sat Jan 08 2022 Valid 101200Z - 161200Z CORRECTED FOR WORDING A split upper-flow regime is expected to materialize next week after a broad mid-level trough across the East Coast ejects into the Atlantic. A series of mid-level troughs will traverse the northern and eastern U.S. while a cut-off upper low across the Southwest evolves into a series of open waves which will traverse the southern Plains. The surface mass response will be an initial surge of widespread high pressure across much of the CONUS early next week, followed by surface lee-troughing across the Plains states, with rapid surface low development in the Upper Mississippi Valley towards the end of the week. As such, cool or moist surface conditions are expected to hinder widespread significant wildfire-spread potential across much of the CONUS. One brief exception may be the central High Plains Day 4/Tuesday, where the onset of surface lee troughing may encourage modestly dry and breezy surface conditions. However, guidance consensus suggests that RH will be too high to warrant Critical probabilities this outlook, though Elevated highlights are possible when Tuesday reaches the Days 1-2 period. ..Squitieri.. 01/08/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT