Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jan 9, 2022
Updated: Sun Jan 9 20:39:03 UTC 2022
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Tue, Jan 11, 2022 - Wed, Jan 12, 2022
D6
Fri, Jan 14, 2022 - Sat, Jan 15, 2022
D4
Wed, Jan 12, 2022 - Thu, Jan 13, 2022
D7
Sat, Jan 15, 2022 - Sun, Jan 16, 2022
D5
Thu, Jan 13, 2022 - Fri, Jan 14, 2022
D8
Sun, Jan 16, 2022 - Mon, Jan 17, 2022
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 092035
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0235 PM CST Sun Jan 09 2022
Valid 111200Z - 171200Z
A broad northwesterly upper flow regime is expected to prevail
across the CONUS, with multiple progressive mid-level troughs
expected to traverse the central and eastern U.S. Days
3-8/Tuesday-Sunday. Across much of the eastern and western CONUS,
cool or moist conditions are expected to limit significant
wildfire-spread potential. Across the south-central U.S., surface
lee troughing may encourage modestly dry and breezy conditions
across the southern Plains Day 3/Tuesday, with similar conditions
possible across the southern Plains Day 6/Friday in association with
the development of a surface low. However, the lack of more robust
dry/windy conditions or confidence in Critical conditions
materializing preclude Critical probabilities at this time.
..Squitieri.. 01/09/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT