Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Wed, Jan 12, 2022 - Thu, Jan 13, 2022 | D6 | Sat, Jan 15, 2022 - Sun, Jan 16, 2022 |
| D4 | Thu, Jan 13, 2022 - Fri, Jan 14, 2022 | D7 | Sun, Jan 16, 2022 - Mon, Jan 17, 2022 |
| D5 | Fri, Jan 14, 2022 - Sat, Jan 15, 2022 | D8 | Mon, Jan 17, 2022 - Tue, Jan 18, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 102148 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0348 PM CST Mon Jan 10 2022 Valid 121200Z - 181200Z Amplified flow in the mid levels is expected to remain in place across the CONUS through the length of the extended forecast period. Within this regime, preferential troughing across the east and ridging in Gulf of Alaska/eastern Pacific should result in northwesterly flow aloft dominating much of the western and central US. As a result, periods of dry and cold air are forecast as several cold fronts migrate south through much of the CONUS. The northwest flow aloft will also support high pressure across much of the country keeping surface winds relatively light. High confidence from deterministic and ensemble guidance points to a low risk for widespread and sustained fire weather conditions over the next several days. ...Southern Plains... Despite the overall unfavorable environment for widespread fire weather conditions, a low chance for localized elevated fire weather may be possible across portions of the southern Plains through the week, as lee troughing and dry conditions remain in place. Somewhat better chances may develop ahead of a stronger cold front Day5/Friday supporting a few hours of concern, though the lack of stronger surface winds and cooler temperatures will likely temper the threat. ..Lyons.. 01/10/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT