Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Tue, Jan 18, 2022 - Wed, Jan 19, 2022 | D6 | Fri, Jan 21, 2022 - Sat, Jan 22, 2022 |
| D4 | Wed, Jan 19, 2022 - Thu, Jan 20, 2022 | D7 | Sat, Jan 22, 2022 - Sun, Jan 23, 2022 |
| D5 | Thu, Jan 20, 2022 - Fri, Jan 21, 2022 | D8 | Sun, Jan 23, 2022 - Mon, Jan 24, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 162039 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0239 PM CST Sun Jan 16 2022 Valid 181200Z - 241200Z A mid-level trough and associated surface low with a trailing cold front are all expected to sweep across the southern Plains Day 3/Tuesday, promoting dry and breezy conditions across portions of the southern High Plains, where wildfire-spread concerns will exist. Thereafter, multiple mid-level impulses embedded in an upper level cyclonic/northwest flow regime will overspread the central and eastern CONUS Days 4-8/Wednesday-Sunday, reinforcing high pressure and cold air across much of the southern U.S., limiting significant wildfire-spread concerns. Some surface lee troughing is expected immediately east of the Rockies with the passage of individual upper impulses, but Critical surface meteorological conditions are not currently expected. ...Day 3/Tuesday - Southern High Plains... Downslope flow across the higher terrain in eastern New Mexico, along with downward momentum transport via a mixed boundary layer ahead of the cold front will promote dry, windy conditions into western Texas by Day 3/Tuesday afternoon. Widespread 20-25 mph sustained westerly surface winds coinciding with 15-20 percent RH and critically dry fuels warrant the continuation of Critical probabilities across eastern New Mexico into western Texas. 70 percent Critical probabilities remain where the aforementioned overlap of the more favorable surface winds, RH and dry fuels should last for at least a few hours. ..Squitieri.. 01/16/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT