Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Wed, Jan 26, 2022 - Thu, Jan 27, 2022 | D6 | Sat, Jan 29, 2022 - Sun, Jan 30, 2022 |
| D4 | Thu, Jan 27, 2022 - Fri, Jan 28, 2022 | D7 | Sun, Jan 30, 2022 - Mon, Jan 31, 2022 |
| D5 | Fri, Jan 28, 2022 - Sat, Jan 29, 2022 | D8 | Mon, Jan 31, 2022 - Tue, Feb 01, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 242125 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0325 PM CST Mon Jan 24 2022 Valid 261200Z - 011200Z Fire weather potential may increase later this week and into the weekend. Long-range ensembles continue to show a rather stagnant upper-air regime with broad troughing across the eastern CONUS and ridging across the West. This will maintain dry conditions across the southwestern U.S. with scattered precipitation chances along and east of the Rockies. While precipitation and cooler temperatures will moderate fire weather concerns for most locations, a downslope-flow regime in the wake of a lee trough may support at least low-end fire weather concerns for parts of the southern High Plains on D6/Saturday. This scenario has been depicted over the past 24-48 hours in a few ensemble members, and probabilities for elevated to critical wind/RH combinations continue to increase in recent runs. Although guidance has trended towards increasing fire weather potential, rain/snow chances through D3/Wednesday across the region may moisten currently dry fuels. ..Moore.. 01/24/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT