Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Tue, Feb 01, 2022 - Wed, Feb 02, 2022 | D6 | Fri, Feb 04, 2022 - Sat, Feb 05, 2022 |
| D4 | Wed, Feb 02, 2022 - Thu, Feb 03, 2022 | D7 | Sat, Feb 05, 2022 - Sun, Feb 06, 2022 |
| D5 | Thu, Feb 03, 2022 - Fri, Feb 04, 2022 | D8 | Sun, Feb 06, 2022 - Mon, Feb 07, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 302152 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0352 PM CST Sun Jan 30 2022 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z Strong troughing is forecast to develop across much of the central and western US through the next several days as a strong wave deepens D3/Tuesday through D6/Friday. A fast moving cold front will move south ahead of the trough, bringing widespread cooler temperatures and winter precipitation to much of the Plains and Midwest through the week. Cold air will remain in place for the remainder of the forecast period, limiting the potential for significant fire weather. ...Southwest Texas... Ahead of the fast moving cold front, gusty southwesterly winds are forecast to develop early D3/Tuesday across portions of the southern High Plains. Models remain split on the arrival timing of the cold air, with known-biases suggesting a faster arrival than most guidance. However, given the dry airmass (RH <20%) and fuels, a few hours of gusty winds may still support brief localized fire weather potential across far southwest TX and eastern NM. As cold and wintry conditions spread first over the Rockies and eventually over the central US, fire weather conditions should become scarce by midweek next week. Dry northerly flow may develop across southwest CA and the southern Great Basin D3/Wednesday as the western edge of the deepening mid-level trough digs farther south. Some offshore flow may also accompany this increase in winds as well as later in the week ahead of weak cut off low across the eastern Pacific. However, fuels across much of the region appear to be unfavorable for a significant fire weather threat at this time. ..Lyons.. 01/30/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT