Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jan 31, 2022

Updated: Mon Jan 31 21:47:03 UTC 2022

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 31, 2022
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 31, 2022

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 31, 2022

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 31, 2022

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 31, 2022

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 31, 2022

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Jan 31, 2022

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Wed, Feb 02, 2022 - Thu, Feb 03, 2022 D6Sat, Feb 05, 2022 - Sun, Feb 06, 2022
D4Thu, Feb 03, 2022 - Fri, Feb 04, 2022 D7Sun, Feb 06, 2022 - Mon, Feb 07, 2022
D5Fri, Feb 04, 2022 - Sat, Feb 05, 2022 D8Mon, Feb 07, 2022 - Tue, Feb 08, 2022
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 312143

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0343 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022

   Valid 021200Z - 081200Z

   An active mid-level flow pattern punctuated by numerous shortwave
   troughs is forecast to continue across the CONUS through the
   extended forecast period. The first, and most coherent, trough is
   forecast to move through the central US midweek, bringing widespread
   precipitation and colder temperatures to much of the country. As
   this trough intensifies and moves east into the weekend, strong
   northerly flow will overspread the Great Basin and West Coast.
   Surface high pressure should settle over the Basin forcing periodic
   offshore flow across southern California. This general pattern
   should continue through the weekend and into early next week, with
   broad troughing centered over the Plains and numerous small systems
   moving through. As a result, temperatures across much of the country
   will be below normal with widespread precipitation expected. Fire
   weather concerns appear minimal through the extended forecast period
   due to poor overlap between gusty winds dry surface conditions.
   Widespread winter precipitation and cooler temperatures should also
   severely temper available fuels across much of the country for the
   next several days.

   ..Lyons.. 01/31/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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