Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Jan 31, 2022
Updated: Mon Jan 31 21:47:03 UTC 2022
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Wed, Feb 02, 2022 - Thu, Feb 03, 2022
D6
Sat, Feb 05, 2022 - Sun, Feb 06, 2022
D4
Thu, Feb 03, 2022 - Fri, Feb 04, 2022
D7
Sun, Feb 06, 2022 - Mon, Feb 07, 2022
D5
Fri, Feb 04, 2022 - Sat, Feb 05, 2022
D8
Mon, Feb 07, 2022 - Tue, Feb 08, 2022
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 312143
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0343 PM CST Mon Jan 31 2022
Valid 021200Z - 081200Z
An active mid-level flow pattern punctuated by numerous shortwave
troughs is forecast to continue across the CONUS through the
extended forecast period. The first, and most coherent, trough is
forecast to move through the central US midweek, bringing widespread
precipitation and colder temperatures to much of the country. As
this trough intensifies and moves east into the weekend, strong
northerly flow will overspread the Great Basin and West Coast.
Surface high pressure should settle over the Basin forcing periodic
offshore flow across southern California. This general pattern
should continue through the weekend and into early next week, with
broad troughing centered over the Plains and numerous small systems
moving through. As a result, temperatures across much of the country
will be below normal with widespread precipitation expected. Fire
weather concerns appear minimal through the extended forecast period
due to poor overlap between gusty winds dry surface conditions.
Widespread winter precipitation and cooler temperatures should also
severely temper available fuels across much of the country for the
next several days.
..Lyons.. 01/31/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT