Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Feb 3, 2022
Updated: Thu Feb 3 21:46:03 UTC 2022
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Sat, Feb 05, 2022 - Sun, Feb 06, 2022
D6
Tue, Feb 08, 2022 - Wed, Feb 09, 2022
D4
Sun, Feb 06, 2022 - Mon, Feb 07, 2022
D7
Wed, Feb 09, 2022 - Thu, Feb 10, 2022
D5
Mon, Feb 07, 2022 - Tue, Feb 08, 2022
D8
Thu, Feb 10, 2022 - Fri, Feb 11, 2022
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 032142
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0342 PM CST Thu Feb 03 2022
Valid 051200Z - 111200Z
Overall fire weather concerns remains minimal through the extended
forecast period. Mid-level troughing is forecast to remain active
over the central and eastern CONUS through the end of the week, as
high pressure builds over the Great Basin and West Coast. Recent
snowfall along with cold and wintry conditions are forecast to
continue across the Rockies and Plains resulting in wet fuels.
Across southern California, prolonged offshore flow is forecast to
occur intermittently through the extended forecasts period.
Supported by a weak, offshore upper low, northeasterly winds beneath
the Great Basin ridge will likely support very strong wind gusts and
dry surface conditions through midweek next week. However, these
normally critical meteorological conditions will likely be tempered
by above average fuel moisture content resulting in a substantially
lower risk for significant fire weather conditions through the next
several days.
..Lyons.. 02/03/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT