Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
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| D3 | Fri, Feb 25, 2022 - Sat, Feb 26, 2022 | D6 | Mon, Feb 28, 2022 - Tue, Mar 01, 2022 |
| D4 | Sat, Feb 26, 2022 - Sun, Feb 27, 2022 | D7 | Tue, Mar 01, 2022 - Wed, Mar 02, 2022 |
| D5 | Sun, Feb 27, 2022 - Mon, Feb 28, 2022 | D8 | Wed, Mar 02, 2022 - Thu, Mar 03, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 232056 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0256 PM CST Wed Feb 23 2022 Valid 251200Z - 031200Z The upper-level pattern through the remainder of the week will feature a broad trough across the eastern third of the CONUS with a broad ridge from West into the Plains. This will favor the maintenance of cold air at the surface from the northern Rockies into much of the central and eastern U.S. Beginning early next week, flow aloft becomes quasi-zonal with the polar jet stream across the northern tier states. Zonal flow across the Rockies, along with potential, low-predictability shortwave troughs, will likely promote lee troughing late this weekend into next week. Conditions in parts of the High Plains and adjacent areas to the east will likely be dry under these regimes given the established dry polar airmass. However, fuel receptiveness will be impacted by cold air through the week as well as flow aloft being relatively weak. Confidence in critical fire weather is low during the period. ..Wendt.. 02/23/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT