Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Feb 24, 2022
Updated: Thu Feb 24 20:27:03 UTC 2022
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Sat, Feb 26, 2022 - Sun, Feb 27, 2022
D6
Tue, Mar 01, 2022 - Wed, Mar 02, 2022
D4
Sun, Feb 27, 2022 - Mon, Feb 28, 2022
D7
Wed, Mar 02, 2022 - Thu, Mar 03, 2022
D5
Mon, Feb 28, 2022 - Tue, Mar 01, 2022
D8
Thu, Mar 03, 2022 - Fri, Mar 04, 2022
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 242023
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0223 PM CST Thu Feb 24 2022
Valid 261200Z - 041200Z
An upper-level trough in the central/southern Rockies will move
eastward this weekend. This will help keep cold air situated across
southern and southeastern portions of the U.S. Upper-level ridging
along the West Coast will shift eastward. A shortwave trough is
expected to crest this ridge early next week, moving through the
northern Rockies and into the northern Plains. Into mid/late next
week, another upper-level ridge is forecast to build across the West
and shift into the Plains.
Fire weather concerns will generally be low during the period as
wind speeds will remain light across drier fuels. The shortwave
trough may bring an increase in dry and windy conditions in parts of
the central and southern Plains on Monday as a weak cold front moves
south. However, with colder air helping to moderate fuels during the
preceding days, critical fire weather potential is below 40%.
..Wendt.. 02/24/2022
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT