Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Feb 24, 2022

Updated: Thu Feb 24 20:27:03 UTC 2022

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2022
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2022

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2022

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2022

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2022

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2022

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Feb 24, 2022

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sat, Feb 26, 2022 - Sun, Feb 27, 2022 D6Tue, Mar 01, 2022 - Wed, Mar 02, 2022
D4Sun, Feb 27, 2022 - Mon, Feb 28, 2022 D7Wed, Mar 02, 2022 - Thu, Mar 03, 2022
D5Mon, Feb 28, 2022 - Tue, Mar 01, 2022 D8Thu, Mar 03, 2022 - Fri, Mar 04, 2022
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 242023

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0223 PM CST Thu Feb 24 2022

   Valid 261200Z - 041200Z

   An upper-level trough in the central/southern Rockies will move
   eastward this weekend. This will help keep cold air situated across
   southern and southeastern portions of the U.S. Upper-level ridging
   along the West Coast will shift eastward. A shortwave trough is
   expected to crest this ridge early next week, moving through the
   northern Rockies and into the northern Plains. Into mid/late next
   week, another upper-level ridge is forecast to build across the West
   and shift into the Plains.

   Fire weather concerns will generally be low during the period as
   wind speeds will remain light across drier fuels. The shortwave
   trough may bring an increase in dry and windy conditions in parts of
   the central and southern Plains on Monday as a weak cold front moves
   south. However, with colder air helping to moderate fuels during the
   preceding days, critical fire weather potential is below 40%.

   ..Wendt.. 02/24/2022

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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