Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Sun, Feb 27, 2022 - Mon, Feb 28, 2022 | D6 | Wed, Mar 02, 2022 - Thu, Mar 03, 2022 |
| D4 | Mon, Feb 28, 2022 - Tue, Mar 01, 2022 | D7 | Thu, Mar 03, 2022 - Fri, Mar 04, 2022 |
| D5 | Tue, Mar 01, 2022 - Wed, Mar 02, 2022 | D8 | Fri, Mar 04, 2022 - Sat, Mar 05, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 252110 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0310 PM CST Fri Feb 25 2022 Valid 271200Z - 051200Z Multiple mid-level shortwave troughs are poised to traverse the central Plains Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday before large-scale upper ridging and surface high pressure dominates the western and central U.S into Days 5-6/Tuesday-Wednesday. A relatively warm, dry surface airmass will overspread the Plains states through Day 6/Wednesday, though the large-scale surface wind field is expected to be too weak to support a significant wildfire-spread threat. Nonetheless, the combination of warm and dry conditions, lack of forecast precipitation, and ongoing severe to extreme drought will continue to gradually prime fuels across the Plains. In the Days 7-8/Thursday-Friday period, upper troughing will return to the central CONUS with dry and breezy conditions possible across the Plains states. However, consistency in the placement and timing of the dry/windy conditions is currently too poor among guidance members, with predictability too low to delineate Critical probabilities this outlook. ..Squitieri.. 02/25/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT