Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
| ||||||||
| D3 | Tue, Mar 01, 2022 - Wed, Mar 02, 2022 | D6 | Fri, Mar 04, 2022 - Sat, Mar 05, 2022 |
| D4 | Wed, Mar 02, 2022 - Thu, Mar 03, 2022 | D7 | Sat, Mar 05, 2022 - Sun, Mar 06, 2022 |
| D5 | Thu, Mar 03, 2022 - Fri, Mar 04, 2022 | D8 | Sun, Mar 06, 2022 - Mon, Mar 07, 2022 |
| (All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC) | |||
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL FNUS28 KWNS 272022 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0222 PM CST Sun Feb 27 2022 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z Upper ridging and weak surface winds are expected across the central CONUS Days 3-4/Tuesday-Wednesday, with warm and dry conditions likely across the Plains states. However, a series of mid-level troughs will eject into the central U.S. in the Days 5-8/Thursday-Sunday time frame, supporting surface lee-troughing and potential cyclone development by the weekend, with dry and windy conditions likely across the central and southern High Plains. Through the week, appreciable precipitation accumulations are expected to be negligible across the High Plains, where fuels remain very dry and highly receptive to fire spread. At the moment, confidence in Critically dry and windy conditions is relatively highest on Days 5-6 across the southern High Plains, with guidance agreement strongest in the placement and timing of the initial upper troughs traversing the Plains. Thereafter, consistency and consensus diminishes in terms of upper trough placement/timing, with Critical probabilities for Days 7-8 withheld for now. If guidance agreement increases and persists in the currently depicted dry/windy conditions across the southern High Plains Days 7-8, then Critical probabilities may be added for next weekend. ..Squitieri.. 02/27/2022 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$ CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT