Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Nov 29, 2024
Updated: Fri Nov 29 21:49:02 UTC 2024
Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)
Risk
Area (sq. mi.)
Area Pop.
Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3
Sun, Dec 01, 2024 - Mon, Dec 02, 2024
D6
Wed, Dec 04, 2024 - Thu, Dec 05, 2024
D4
Mon, Dec 02, 2024 - Tue, Dec 03, 2024
D7
Thu, Dec 05, 2024 - Fri, Dec 06, 2024
D5
Tue, Dec 03, 2024 - Wed, Dec 04, 2024
D8
Fri, Dec 06, 2024 - Sat, Dec 07, 2024
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
FNUS28 KWNS 292145
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0345 PM CST Fri Nov 29 2024
Valid 011200Z - 071200Z
Fire-weather concerns should generally remain low throughout the
extended forecast period, as a cool and/or moist air mass
encompasses much of the CONUS. The one exception will be across
portions of the Florida Peninsula on Days 4-5/Monday-Tuesday. During
this timeframe, a broad large-scale trough over the eastern half of
the CONUS will progress eastward into the western Atlantic waters,
while an upstream surface high shifts from the northern Plains into
the Southeast. This will promote breezy northerly surface winds down
the Florida Peninsula, where a relatively warm/dry antecedent air
mass will be in place. Given a lack of rainfall over the last couple
weeks and at least modestly receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather
conditions will be possible. However, confidence in the development
of critical conditions is too low to add Critical probabilities at
this time.
..Weinman.. 11/29/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
$$
CLICK TO GET FNUS38 KWNS PFWF38 FIRE WEATHER OUTLOOK DAY 3-8 AREAL OUTLINE PRODUCT