Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Issued on Nov 29, 2024

Updated: Fri Nov 29 21:49:02 UTC 2024

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 29, 2024
 
Day 3 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 29, 2024

Day 3 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 4 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 29, 2024

Day 4 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 5 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 29, 2024

Day 5 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 6 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 29, 2024

Day 6 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 7 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 29, 2024

Day 7 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Day 8 Probabilistic Dry Thunder/Strong Wind FireWX Forecast Graphic Issued on Nov 29, 2024

Day 8 Probabilistic Fire Weather Outlooks:
Probability of dry thunderstorms with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by scalloped lines for
- Critical Area - 40% (blue)
- Marginal Area - 10% (brown)
Probability of strong winds, low RH, and warm temperatures concurrent for at least 3 hours with dry fuels within 12 miles of a point denoted by solid lines for
- Critical Area - 70% (red)
- Marginal Area - 40% (orange)


Risk Area (sq. mi.) Area Pop. Some Larger Population Centers in Risk Area
No Risk Areas Forecast
D3Sun, Dec 01, 2024 - Mon, Dec 02, 2024 D6Wed, Dec 04, 2024 - Thu, Dec 05, 2024
D4Mon, Dec 02, 2024 - Tue, Dec 03, 2024 D7Thu, Dec 05, 2024 - Fri, Dec 06, 2024
D5Tue, Dec 03, 2024 - Wed, Dec 04, 2024 D8Fri, Dec 06, 2024 - Sat, Dec 07, 2024
(All days are valid from 12 UTC - 12 UTC)
   ZCZC SPCFWDD38 ALL
   FNUS28 KWNS 292145

   Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0345 PM CST Fri Nov 29 2024

   Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

   Fire-weather concerns should generally remain low throughout the
   extended forecast period, as a cool and/or moist air mass
   encompasses much of the CONUS. The one exception will be across
   portions of the Florida Peninsula on Days 4-5/Monday-Tuesday. During
   this timeframe, a broad large-scale trough over the eastern half of
   the CONUS will progress eastward into the western Atlantic waters,
   while an upstream surface high shifts from the northern Plains into
   the Southeast. This will promote breezy northerly surface winds down
   the Florida Peninsula, where a relatively warm/dry antecedent air
   mass will be in place. Given a lack of rainfall over the last couple
   weeks and at least modestly receptive fuels, elevated fire-weather
   conditions will be possible. However, confidence in the development
   of critical conditions is too low to add Critical probabilities at
   this time.

   ..Weinman.. 11/29/2024

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

   $$

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