Storm Prediction Center Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Created: Thu Mar 30 07:34:03 UTC 2017 ( | )
Click for Day 2 FireWX Areal Outline Product (KWNSPFWFD2)
ZCZC SPCFWDDY2 ALL FNUS22 KWNS 300729 Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0229 AM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...EXTREMELY CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NM AND THE TX TRANS-PECOS REGION... ...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF WEST TX...NM...EXTREME SOUTHEAST AZ... ...Synopsis... A strong midlevel cyclone and accompanying band of intense tropospheric flow will gradually spread eastward across the Southwest States. Antecedent dry surface conditions from portions of the Southwest States to west and south TX will overlap with strong to very strong winds in support of areas of substantially enhanced fire-weather potential. ...Portions of the Southwest States to west and south TX... Across the Extremely Critical area, southwesterly surface winds of 30-35 mph and higher gusts are forecast to combine with RH of 5-10 percent amid very dry fuels. This will occur as deep mixed layers extend into the intense flow aloft. Within the surrounding Critical area, southwesterly to west- southwesterly winds of 20-30 mph are forecast to combine with RH around 5-15 percent (lowest RH across southeast NM and far west TX) amid dry to very dry fuels. Winds will turn more westerly and perhaps west-northwesterly across the Critical and Extremely Critical areas during the late afternoon and into the evening/overnight. This wind shift could redirect any ongoing fires. Elevated to borderline-critical fire-weather conditions are expected across the surrounding elevated area extending from portions of the lower CO River Valley to portions of west and south TX. Critical to near-critical RH is expected across many of these areas. Winds will range from westerly at 15-20 mph across western parts of the Elevated area, to southerly/south-southeasterly at 15-20 mph across eastern parts of the Elevated area (east of a sharpening lee trough amid initially limited moisture return). However, strong winds are not expected to occur on any more than a brief/spotty basis. Furthermore, less-favorable fuels for fire spread may mitigate the overall fire-weather potential north of the Critical area across parts of northern NM and vicinity. ..Cohen.. 03/30/2017 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
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